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NBL1 Women, South
NBL1 Women, South Australia
10.05.2026 02:30 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 02:30 UTC
Finished

NBL1 Women, South

Australia

Melbourne Tigers - Frankston Blues

Australia Basketball
Melbourne Tigers
Melbourne Tigers
84 : 61
Finished
Frankston Blues
Frankston Blues

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Melbourne Tigers - Frankston Blues May 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Melbourne Tigers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / 2 3.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 74.0%
2 26.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2026 02:30 UTC
Match center

Melbourne Tigers - Frankston Blues

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 135.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 136.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet
1.87 53.5%
1.84 54.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.84 54.5%
1.84 54.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.84 54.4%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.5%
1.90 52.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.74 57.3%

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 137.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 138.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 140.5 1.90 52.5%
Over 141.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 143.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 145.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 147.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 151.5 1.91 52.4%
Over 155.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 155.75 1.77 56.5%
Over 156.25 1.82 55.1%
Over 156.5 1.73 57.7%
Over 156.75 1.75 57.1%
Under 137.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 138.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 140.5 1.84 54.5%
Under 141.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 143.5 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral Dafabet
1.01 99.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.2% 1.24 80.7% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
11.00 9.1% 3.65 27.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3% 17.00 5.9% 11.03 9.1% 3.75 26.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.95 25.3%
Match center
Melbourne Tigers
L W L
09.05 07:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Melbourne Tigers 68:71 Geelong United
03.05 02:30 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Melbourne Tigers 86:81 Knox Raiders
12.04 03:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Melbourne Tigers 77:90 Ballarat Miners
1 Wins
2 Losses
77.0 Scored
80.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Frankston Blues
W L
02.05 08:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Frankston Blues 82:68 Nunawading Spectres
11.04 07:30 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Frankston Blues 69:75 Casey CavaliersCasey Cavaliers
1 Wins
1 Losses
75.5 Scored
71.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage