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NBL1 Women, South
NBL1 Women, South Australia
08.05.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction
08.05.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

NBL1 Women, South

Australia

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Hobart Chargers

Australia Basketball
Mount Gambier Pioneers
Mount Gambier Pioneers
78 : 82
Finished
Hobart Chargers
Hobart Chargers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mount Gambier Pioneers - Hobart Chargers May 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Hobart Chargers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.50 / 2 1.47

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 37.0%
2 63.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.05.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Mount Gambier Pioneers - Hobart Chargers

Array

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.47 Fonbet · line only
1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 158.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Over 160.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet
1.92 52.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.84 54.4%
1.87 53.5%
1.82 55.0%
1.98 50.5%
1.78 56.1%
1.74 57.5%
1.82 55.0%
1.89 52.9%
1.87 53.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.92 52.1%
1.77 56.5%
1.97 50.9%
1.98 50.6%

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 160.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 161.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 162.5 1.71 58.5%
Over 163.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 165.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 165.75 1.79 55.8%
Over 166.25 1.81 55.3%
Over 166.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 166.75 1.82 55.1%
Over 167.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 169.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 160.5 2.03 49.4%
Under 161.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 162.5 2.02 49.5%
Under 163.5 1.76 56.8%
Under 165.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 165.75 1.81 55.3%
Under 166.25 1.81 55.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
2.55 39.2% 1.09 91.8% 2.60 38.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.26 79.4% 11.00 9.1% 2.86 35.0% 1.02 98.2% 1.09 91.7%
1.45 69.0% 5.90 17.0% 1.45 68.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.15 31.8% 1.01 99.0% 5.06 19.8% 16.04 6.2% 6.50 15.4%
Match center
Mount Gambier Pioneers
L L W W
03.05 02:30 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Mount Gambier Pioneers 74:100 Sandringham Sabres
02.05 08:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Mount Gambier Pioneers 72:83 Knox Raiders
12.04 02:30 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Mount Gambier Pioneers 87:82 Geelong United
11.04 08:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Mount Gambier Pioneers 93:87 Diamond Valley Eagles
2 Wins
2 Losses
81.5 Scored
88.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Hobart Chargers
W L L
02.05 07:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Hobart Chargers 92:67 Bendigo Braves
12.04 03:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Hobart Chargers 76:86 Waverley Falcons
11.04 07:30 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Hobart Chargers 77:83 Kilsyth Cobras
1 Wins
2 Losses
81.7 Scored
78.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage