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NBL1 Women, South
NBL1 Women, South Australia
10.05.2026 03:00 UTC Match prediction
10.05.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

NBL1 Women, South

Australia

Waverley Falcons - Casey Cavaliers

Australia Basketball
Waverley Falcons
Waverley Falcons
65 : 80
Finished
Casey Cavaliers
Casey Cavaliers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Waverley Falcons - Casey Cavaliers May 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Waverley Falcons. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.77 / 2 1.94

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 52.3%
2 47.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Waverley Falcons

no data

Casey Cavaliers
6-4LWWWLLWWWL
points for 88.1points against 83.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center

Waverley Falcons - Casey Cavaliers

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.94 Fonbet · line only
1 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 118.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 121.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet
1.87 53.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.82 55.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.82 55.0%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.96 51.0%
1.89 52.9%
1.89 52.9%
1.93 51.8%
1.87 53.5%
1.76 56.7%
1.87 53.5%
1.77 56.4%
1.89 52.9%

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 118.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 121.5 1.84 54.5%
Over 142.5 1.90 52.5%
Over 144.5 1.84 54.5%
Over 147.5 1.84 54.5%
Over 148.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 159.5 1.84 54.4%
Over 159.75 1.80 55.7%
Over 160.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 160.75 1.82 55.1%
Over 161.5 1.76 56.9%
Over 161.75 1.78 56.3%
Under 118.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 121.5 1.90 52.5%
Under 142.5 1.84 54.5%
Under 144.5 1.90 52.5%
Under 147.5 1.90 52.5%
Under 148.5 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
11.00 9.1% 1.73 57.8% 15.00 6.7% 21.00 4.8% 10.00 10.0% 17.00 5.9% 44.61 2.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.95 51.3%
1.01 99.0% 1.97 50.8% 1.01 99.0% 1.00 99.9% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 10.71 9.3% 2.20 45.5% 1.73 57.8%
Match center
Waverley Falcons
W W L
03.05 03:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Waverley Falcons 73:61 Dandenong Rangers
12.04 03:00 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Waverley Falcons 86:76 Hobart Chargers
11.04 07:30 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Waverley Falcons 73:83 Nunawading Spectres
2 Wins
1 Losses
77.3 Scored
73.3 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Casey Cavaliers
L W W
09.05 07:30 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Casey Cavaliers 63:85 Sandringham Sabres
02.05 07:30 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Casey Cavaliers 96:77 Eltham Wildcats
11.04 07:30 UTC NBL1 Women, South
Casey Cavaliers 75:69 Frankston Blues
2 Wins
1 Losses
78.0 Scored
77.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage