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New Zealand. NBL
New Zealand. NBL
04.06.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

New Zealand. NBL

Bay Hawks - Nelson Dzhayents

Basketball
B
Bay Hawks
85 : 94
Finished
Nelson Dzhayents
Nelson Dzhayents

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bay Hawks - Nelson Dzhayents June 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nelson Dzhayents. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.00 / 2 1.19

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 22.9%
2 77.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Bay Hawks
3-7WWLLLLWLLL
points for 87.2points against 96.1
Nelson Dzhayents
2-8LLLLWLLWLL
points for 85.0points against 90.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Grin Arena (Neypir)
Start 04.06.2026 05:00 UTC
Match center

Bay Hawks - Nelson Dzhayents

Array

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.19 Fonbet · line only
1 4.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 170.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 171.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.67 59.9%
1.95 51.3%
2.10 47.6%
2.25 44.4%
2.45 40.8%
1.85 54.1%
2.08 48.1%
1.75 57.1%
2.70 37.0%
3.10 32.3%
2.75 36.4%
2.13 47.0%
2.30 43.5%
1.40 71.4%
1.32 75.8%
1.45 69.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 170.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 171.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 172.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 173.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 174.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 175.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 176.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 177.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 178.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 179.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 180.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 181.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 182.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 183.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 184.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 185.5 2.08 48.1%
Over 186.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 187.5 2.60 38.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
4.00 25.0%
1.19 84.0%
Match center
Bay Hawks
L L L
30.05 02:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Bay Hawks 88:94 Tauranga Whai
25.05 05:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Bay Hawks 79:107 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
23.05 02:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Bay Hawks 82:98 Frenklin BullzFrenklin Bullz
0 Wins
3 Losses
83.0 Scored
99.7 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Nelson Dzhayents
L
24.05 01:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Nelson Dzhayents 63:88 Otago NaggetsOtago Naggets
0 Wins
1 Losses
63.0 Scored
88.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage