New Zealand. NBL
New Zealand. NBL
02.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

New Zealand. NBL

Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs

Basketball
B
Bay Hawks
74 : 96
Finished
Taranaki Airs
Taranaki Airs
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Taranaki Airs (odds1.43) Score 80:80 confidence 53% ✓ outcome correct
  • Bey Khoks: forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • Taranaki Airs: forma VPPPV (2-3)
  • Model backs Taranaki Airs: probability 53%.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs July 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Taranaki Airs. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 10.7%
2 89.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

3Wins3
50.0%Win %50.0%
60.2Points per game60.3
88.6Offensive rating108.1
88.8Defensive rating107.8
-0.2Point differential0.2
37.5Assists41.0
89.0Rebounds94.5
35.7%3-pointers, %23.8%

Team form

Bay Hawks
Overall LLLWL Net -16.3
Home LWW Net -10.5
Away LLL Net -22.9
Taranaki Airs
Overall LLLLW Net -15.7
Home LLW Net -15.3
Away LLW Net -16.3

Team stats

Bay Hawks Overall · Home/Away Taranaki Airs
20.0%H 25.0% · A 14.3%Win %33.3%H 33.3% · A 33.3%
-16.3H -10.5 · A -22.9Point differential-15.7H -15.3 · A -16.3
89.2H 94.0 · A 83.7Points per game82.6H 80.3 · A 86.0
97.3H 99.3 · A 95.1Conceded90.5H 88.0 · A 94.2
47.3%H 49.0% · A 45.4%FG, %44.2%H 42.0% · A 47.5%
33.3H 37.5 · A 28.61st half20.0H 22.2 · A 16.7
78.3H 78.5 · A 78.1Pace82.7H 83.3 · A 81.9
114.4H 113.4 · A 115.5Offensive rating99.7H 99.2 · A 100.3
124.8H 123.7 · A 126.0Defensive rating109.2H 108.7 · A 109.9

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Bay Hawks Total (over) Taranaki Airs
89.2 Points per game 82.6
73.3%
O 82.5
60.0%
73.3%
O 83.5
60.0%
66.7%
O 84.5
60.0%
60.0%
O 85.5srednee
53.3%
60.0%
O 86.5
46.7%
60.0%
O 87.5
40.0%
53.3%
O 88.5
40.0%
53.3%
O 89.5
33.3%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Bay Hawks Total (over) Taranaki Airs
13.3%
O 101.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Bay Hawks 42.7 / Taranaki Airs —

Bay Hawks Total (over) Taranaki Airs
60.0%
O 40.5
40.0%
53.3%
O 41.5
40.0%
53.3%
O 42.5srednee
33.3%
26.7%
O 43.5
33.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Bay Hawks 45.7 / Taranaki Airs 44.1

Bay Hawks Total (over) Taranaki Airs
53.3%
O 43.5
66.7%
46.7%
O 44.5srednee
40.0%
46.7%
O 45.5
40.0%
46.7%
O 46.5
40.0%

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Match center
Start 02.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Match center

Bay Hawks - Taranaki Airs

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 164.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Over 165.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.40 71.4%
1.50 66.7%
1.60 62.5%
1.40 71.4%
1.51 66.2%
1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.47 68.0%
1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.67 59.9%
1.80 55.6%
1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 164.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 165.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 166.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 167.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 168.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 169.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 170.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 171.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 183.5 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%
Over 184.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
Over 185.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 183.5 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
Under 184.5 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%
Under 185.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 8.50 11.8% 2.34 42.7%
1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.02 98.0% 1.58 63.3%
Match center
Bay Hawks
W L L L L
13.06 02:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Bay Hawks 101:95 Frenklin BullzFrenklin Bullz
04.06 05:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Bay Hawks 85:94 Nelson DzhayentsNelson Dzhayents
30.05 02:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Bay Hawks 88:94 Tauranga Whai
25.05 05:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Bay Hawks 79:107 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
23.05 02:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Bay Hawks 82:98 Frenklin BullzFrenklin Bullz
1 Wins
4 Losses
87.0 Scored
97.6 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Taranaki Airs
W L L
12.06 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Taranaki Airs 85:73 Tauranga Whai
06.06 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Taranaki Airs 69:90 Auckland TuataraAuckland Tuatara
29.05 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Taranaki Airs 77:89 Manavatu DzhetsManavatu Dzhets
1 Wins
2 Losses
77.0 Scored
84.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBay Hawks - Taranaki Airs

Bay Hawks
0 matches total
Taranaki Airs
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history