New Zealand. NBL
Canterbury Rams - Auckland Tuatara
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Auckland Tuatara — 56%
Pure model vs market (2 · Auckland Tuatara): model 49% · market 11% Δ +38 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Canterbury Rams 43.5%, win Auckland Tuatara 56.5%. Model favourite — Auckland Tuatara.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Kenterberi Rems: forma V (1-0)
- • Oklend Tuatara: forma VP (1)
- • Model backs Kenterberi Rems: probability 51% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.89)
- • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Under 175.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 175.5 (odds 2.03)
- • Handicap F1 +1.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.80).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Canterbury Rams - Auckland Tuatara July 19, 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Canterbury Rams.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 8.50
- Glicko: Canterbury Rams 43.5% / Auckland Tuatara 56.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT
AI consensus:2
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total points | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 40% | 60% | 91:96 | Over 184.5 | Handicap 2 (-3.5) |
| Claude | 47% | 53% | 90:93 | Under 187.5 | AH1 +4.5 (Kenterberi Rems with handicap) |
| Qwen | 42% | 58% | 88:92 | Over 175.5 | Over 175. |
| Kimi | 42% | 58% | 94:99 | Over 185.5 | |
| GLM 5.2 | 38% | 62% | 98:92 | Over 195.5 | Win Oklend Tuatara (2) |
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Canterbury Rams - Auckland Tuatara
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | — | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | — | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | 2.50 40.0% | |
| — | — | 1.92 52.1% | |
| — | — | 1.73 57.8% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.38 72.5% | |
| — | — | 1.55 64.5% | |
| — | — | 1.45 69.0% | |
| — | — | 1.35 74.1% | |
| — | — | 1.55 64.5% | |
| — | — | 1.45 69.0% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | — | — | |
| 1.80 55.6% | — | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 153.5 | — | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 154.5 | — | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 155.5 | — | — | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 156.5 | — | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 157.5 | — | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 158.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 177.5 | — | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| Over 182.5 | 1.88 53.2% | — | — |
| Over 183.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — | — |
| Over 184.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — | — |
| Over 185.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — | — |
| Over 186.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — | — |
| Under 177.5 | — | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Under 182.5 | 1.82 55.0% | — | — |
| Under 183.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — | — |
| Under 184.5 | 1.80 55.6% | — | — |
| Under 185.5 | 1.80 55.6% | — | — |
| Under 186.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.15 46.5% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.02 98.0% | 2.33 42.9% | |
| 1.62 61.7% | 1.79 55.9% | 8.50 11.8% | 1.58 63.3% |
Form & head-to-head
Canterbury Rams
Auckland Tuatara
Manavatu Dzhets
Otago Naggets
Full head-to-head historyCanterbury Rams - Auckland Tuatara
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form