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New Zealand. NBL
New Zealand. NBL
03.07.2026 05:30 UTC Match prediction
03.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Finished

New Zealand. NBL

Canterbury Rams - Manawatu Jets

Basketball
Canterbury Rams
Canterbury Rams
99 : 65
Finished
Manawatu Jets
Manawatu Jets
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

2Manawatu Jets — odds 3.20 · edge +8.3% · 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Canterbury Rams - Manawatu Jets July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Canterbury Rams. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

5Wins1
83.3%Win %16.7%
68.3Points per game62.5
128.3Offensive rating111.0
117.4Defensive rating121.4
5.8Point differential-5.8
48.0Assists35.5
111.5Rebounds87.0
32.7%3-pointers, %25.0%

Team form

Canterbury Rams
Overall LLWWW Net +24.3
Home WWW Net +31.7
Away LLW Net +19.3
Manawatu Jets
Overall WLLLL Net -15.3
Home WLL Net -21.4
Away LLW Net -10.0

Team stats

Canterbury Rams Overall · Home/Away Manawatu Jets
73.3%H 83.3% · A 66.7%Win %33.3%H 14.3% · A 50.0%
24.3H 31.7 · A 19.3Point differential-15.3H -21.4 · A -10.0
97.9H 96.7 · A 98.7Points per game92.1H 88.0 · A 95.6
85.7H 80.8 · A 89.0Conceded99.7H 98.7 · A 100.6
50.5%H 48.5% · A 51.8%FG, %46.8%H 46.3% · A 47.3%
—A 77.81st half26.7H 14.3 · A 37.5
78.6H 78.1 · A 78.8Pace83.3H 82.4 · A 84.3
124.7H 124.8 · A 125.0Offensive rating111.5H 112.8 · A 110.2
109.3H 109.3 · A 109.5Defensive rating120.8H 122.1 · A 119.4

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Canterbury Rams Total (over) Manawatu Jets
97.9 Points per game 92.1
86.7%
O 91.5
53.3%
86.7%
O 92.5
46.7%
66.7%
O 93.5
40.0%
66.7%
O 94.5srednee
40.0%
60.0%
O 95.5
40.0%
60.0%
O 96.5
33.3%
53.3%
O 97.5
33.3%
46.7%
O 98.5
33.3%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Canterbury Rams Total (over) Manawatu Jets
13.3%
O 103.5
20.0%
13.3%
O 104.5
13.3%
13.3%
O 105.5
13.3%
13.3%
O 106.5
13.3%
13.3%
O 107.5
13.3%
13.3%
O 108.5
13.3%
13.3%
O 109.5
6.7%
13.3%
O 110.5
6.7%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Canterbury Rams 49.1 / Manawatu Jets 46.6

Canterbury Rams Total (over) Manawatu Jets
66.7%
O 46.5
46.7%
53.3%
O 47.5srednee
40.0%
46.7%
O 48.5
40.0%
40.0%
O 49.5
33.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Canterbury Rams 48.7 / Manawatu Jets 45.5

Canterbury Rams Total (over) Manawatu Jets
60.0%
O 45.5
53.3%
46.7%
O 46.5
46.7%
46.7%
O 47.5srednee
46.7%
46.7%
O 48.5
33.3%

Form and head-to-head • NBL

Team stats

Canterbury Rams
WLWWWLWWWL
W 7 • D 0 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:98.2 : 84.3
3 place, 22 pts
Manawatu Jets
LLWWLWLLLW
W 4 • D 0 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:93 : 98.7
8 place, 10 pts
Head-to-head: 14 — Canterbury Rams 8, draws 0, Manawatu Jets 6 (goals 1325:1218)
  • Manawatu Jets — Canterbury Rams2026-05-22 93:100
  • Manawatu Jets — Canterbury Rams2025-06-22 92:86
  • Canterbury Rams — Manawatu Jets2025-04-11 92:81
  • Canterbury Rams — Manawatu Jets2025-03-04 93:60
  • Manawatu Jets — Canterbury Rams2024-06-30 94:121

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Match center

Canterbury Rams - Manawatu Jets

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 1.97 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.84 54.4% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.90 52.6% —
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%
— 1.86 53.8%
1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4%
1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
1.80 55.6% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 189.5 1.83 54.6% —
Over 192.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
Over 193.5 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2%
Over 194.5 — 1.82 55.0%
Over 195.5 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3%
Over 197.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
Under 189.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 192.5 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%
Under 193.5 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0%
Under 194.5 — 1.88 53.2%
Under 195.5 1.88 53.2% —
Under 197.5 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.01 99.0% 1.32 75.8%
3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 11.00 9.1% 3.29 30.4%
Match center
Canterbury Rams
L W L W
01.07 05:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Canterbury Rams 98:103 Sautlend SharksSautlend Sharks
13.06 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Canterbury Rams 93:58 Otago NaggetsOtago Naggets
03.06 05:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Canterbury Rams 97:100 Auckland TuataraAuckland Tuatara
22.05 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Canterbury Rams 100:93 Manavatu DzhetsManavatu Dzhets
2 Wins
2 Losses
97.0 Scored
88.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Manawatu Jets
L L W L
14.06 04:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Manawatu Jets 92:96 Tauranga Whai
01.06 01:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Manawatu Jets 84:105 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
29.05 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Manawatu Jets 89:77 Taranaki AirsTaranaki Airs
22.05 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Manawatu Jets 93:100 Kenterberi RamsKenterberi Rams
1 Wins
3 Losses
89.5 Scored
94.5 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCanterbury Rams - Manawatu Jets

Canterbury Rams
1 matches total
Manawatu Jets
Canterbury Rams: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manawatu Jets: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Kenterberi Rams 100:93 (22.05 05:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 193 goals (100:93, 22.05 05:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

22.05 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Kenterberi Rams
100:93
Manavatu Dzhets