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New Zealand. NBL
New Zealand. NBL International
02.08.2026 06:00 UTC
Not started

New Zealand. NBL

Canterbury Rams - Southland Sharks

International Basketball
Canterbury Rams
Canterbury Rams
- : -
Not started
Southland Sharks
Southland Sharks
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Southland Sharks54%

1 · Canterbury Rams46.4%
2 · Southland Sharks53.6%

Model estimate: win Canterbury Rams 46.4%, win Southland Sharks 53.6%. Model favourite — Southland Sharks.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Southland Sharks (odds2.29) Score 79:81 Under 183.5 (odds2.03) Handicap H2 +4.5 (odds1.85) confidence 54%
  • Kenterberi Rems: forma VVV (3-0)
  • Sautlend Sharks: forma VV (2-0)
  • Model backs Sautlend Sharks: probability 54% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.29)
  • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • Total: Under 183.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 183.5 (odds 2.03)
  • Handicap F2 +4.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Canterbury Rams - Southland Sharks August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Canterbury Rams. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.42 / 2 2.65

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 65.1%
2 34.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.67 → 1.67
Pobeditel P2 2.07 → 2.07

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 06:00 UTC
Form 5 matches
Match center

Canterbury Rams - Southland Sharks

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Canterbury Rams 55.4% 46.4% market favourite
Southland Sharks 44.7% 53.6% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 46.4% / 53.6% probabilities
Rating 1,805 / 1,977 Canterbury Rams / Southland Sharks
RD 239 / 239 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,327-2,284 / 1,499-2,456 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 Fonbet · value +42.1% · model 53.6%
1 1.42 Fonbet · no value · model 46.4%
Total
Over 183.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 184.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.88 53.2% 1.89 52.9%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4%
1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8%
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
Over 183.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 184.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 185.5 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0%
Over 186.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Over 187.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 188.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 183.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 184.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 185.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 186.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
Under 187.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 188.5 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.38 72.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0%
2.73 36.6% 2.75 36.4% 2.65 37.7% 2.70 37.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-0-3
2026-07-01 · Kenterberi Rams 98:103 Sautlend Sharks
2026-05-17 · Kenterberi Rams 95:104 Sautlend Sharks
2025-07-12 · Kenterberi Rams 82:101 Sautlend Sharks
2025-05-03 · Kenterberi Rams 128:79 Sautlend Sharks
2025-03-22 · Kenterberi Rams 120:84 Sautlend Sharks
Source: ruscore
Canterbury Rams
W W W
26.07 06:00 UTC New Zealand. NBL
Canterbury Rams 89:66 Franklin BullzFranklin Bullz
19.07 03:00 UTC New Zealand. NBL
Canterbury Rams 88:75 Oklend TuataraOklend Tuatara
09.07 07:00 UTC New Zealand. NBL
Canterbury Rams 91:90 Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs
3 Wins
0 Losses
89.3 Scored
77.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Southland Sharks
W W
29.07 07:00 UTC New Zealand. NBL
Southland Sharks 96:81 Vay Tauranga
18.07 04:00 UTC New Zealand. NBL
Southland Sharks 103:62 Bey Khoks
2 Wins
0 Losses
99.5 Scored
71.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage