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New Zealand NBL
New Zealand NBL New-Zealand
08.05.2026 07:30 UTC
Finished

New Zealand NBL

New-Zealand

Franklin Bulls - Nelson Giants

New-Zealand Basketball
Franklin Bulls
Franklin Bulls
97 : 73
Finished
Nelson Giants
Nelson Giants

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Franklin Bulls - Nelson Giants May 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Franklin Bulls. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.05.2026 07:30 UTC
Match center

Franklin Bulls - Nelson Giants

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.71 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.79 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 1 1.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 171.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Over 172.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 10Bet
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.95 51.3%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome 10Bet
Over 175.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 176 1.85 54.1%
Over 176.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 179 1.85 54.1%
Over 190.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 194.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 195.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 196.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 197 1.83 54.6%
Over 198 1.83 54.6%
Over 199.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 175.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 176 1.85 54.1%
Under 176.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 179 1.85 54.1%
Under 190.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 194.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 195.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet
1.01 99.0% 2.34 42.7% 1.02 98.0% 1.00 99.6% 1.03 97.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.01 99.0% 1.06 94.3% 1.02 98.4%
11.00 9.1% 1.53 65.4% 11.00 9.1% 18.00 5.6% 10.50 9.5% 22.00 4.6% 17.00 5.9% 10.83 9.2% 17.25 5.8%
Match center
Franklin Bulls
W L L
02.05 01:30 UTC New Zealand NBL
Franklin Bulls 103:88 Tauranga Whai
27.04 02:00 UTC New Zealand NBL
Franklin Bulls 90:91 Taranaki AirsTaranaki Airs
11.04 07:30 UTC New Zealand NBL
Franklin Bulls 95:115 Auckland TuataraAuckland Tuatara
1 Wins
2 Losses
96.0 Scored
98.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Nelson Giants
W L
02.05 04:30 UTC New Zealand NBL
Nelson Giants 107:91 Taranaki AirsTaranaki Airs
12.04 06:00 UTC New Zealand NBL
Nelson Giants 85:86 Canterbury Rams
1 Wins
1 Losses
96.0 Scored
88.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage