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New Zealand. NBL
New Zealand. NBL
13.07.2026 05:00 UTC Match prediction
13.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

New Zealand. NBL

Manawatu Jets - Nelson Dzhayents

Basketball
Manawatu Jets
Manawatu Jets
120 : 113
Finished
Nelson Dzhayents
Nelson Dzhayents
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Manawatu Jets — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Manawatu Jets): model 54% · market 57% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Manawatu Jets ✓ Прогноз57.6%
2 · Nelson Dzhayents42.4%

Model estimate: win Manawatu Jets 57.6%, win Nelson Dzhayents 42.4%. Model favourite — Manawatu Jets.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Manawatu Jets (odds1.66) confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manawatu Jets - Nelson Dzhayents 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manawatu Jets.

Line favourite market consensus: Manawatu Jets. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.66 / 2 2.20
  • Glicko: Manawatu Jets 57.6% / Nelson Dzhayents 42.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 ✓ Прогноз 57.0%
2 43.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Manawatu Jets
4-6LLWWLWLLLW
points for 93.0points against 98.7
Nelson Dzhayents
2-8LLLLWLLWLL
points for 85.0points against 90.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated12.07.2026 03:08 UTC
1 51% ✓ favourite
2 49%
Score84:89 Total points: ТМ 176.5 Bet:победа гостей в матче.
Claude updated12.07.2026 03:09 UTC
1 51% ✓ favourite
2 49%
Bet:1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 51% 49% 84:89 ТМ 176.5 победа гостей в матче.
Claude 51% 49% — — 1

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Manawatu Jets - Nelson Dzhayents

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 120:113
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Manawatu Jets 57.9% 57.6% market and model agree
Nelson Dzhayents 42.1% 42.4%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 57.6% / 42.4% probabilities
Rating 1,322 / 1,266 Manawatu Jets / Nelson Dzhayents
RD 158 / 189 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,006-1,638 / 888-1,643 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.19 market consensus · no value · model 42.4%
1 1.62 market consensus · no value · model 57.6%
Total
Over 182.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 184.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
П1 +1.5 1.83 54.6% —
П1 -1.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6%
П1 -2.5 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3%
П1 -3.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
П1 -4.5 1.89 52.9% —
П2 +1.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
П2 +2.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
П2 +3.5 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3%
П2 +4.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
П2 -1.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
ТБ 182.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 184.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 185.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 186.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 187.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 182.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 184.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 185.5 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 186.5 1.79 55.9% —
ТМ 187.5 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.66 60.2%
П2 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.18 45.9%
Match center
Manawatu Jets
W L L L W
11.07 02:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Manawatu Jets 97:88 Bey Khoks
03.07 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Manawatu Jets 65:99 Kenterberi RamsKenterberi Rams
14.06 04:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Manawatu Jets 92:96 Tauranga Whai
01.06 01:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Manawatu Jets 84:105 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
29.05 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Manawatu Jets 89:77 Taranaki AirsTaranaki Airs
2 Wins
3 Losses
85.4 Scored
93.0 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Nelson Dzhayents
L W L L W
11.07 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Nelson Dzhayents 71:83 Sautlend SharksSautlend Sharks
05.07 01:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Nelson Dzhayents 88:85 Frenklin BullzFrenklin Bullz
12.06 23:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Nelson Dzhayents 85:95 Sautlend SharksSautlend Sharks
06.06 02:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Nelson Dzhayents 58:69 Tauranga Whai
04.06 05:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Nelson Dzhayents 94:85 Bey Khoks
2 Wins
3 Losses
79.2 Scored
83.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage