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New Zealand: NBL
New Zealand: NBL
24.05.2026 01:00 UTC Match prediction
24.05.2026 01:00 UTC
Finished

New Zealand: NBL

Nelson Dzhayents - Otago Nuggets

Basketball
Nelson Dzhayents
Nelson Dzhayents
63 : 88
Finished
Otago Nuggets
Otago Nuggets

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nelson Dzhayents - Otago Nuggets May 24, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Otago Nuggets. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.50 / 2 1.03

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.4%
1 12.1%
2 87.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Nelson Dzhayents
2-8LLLLWLLWLL
points for 85.0points against 90.9
Otago Nuggets
3-2WWWLL
points for 99.1points against 89.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Central Trafelgar (Nelson)
Referee Hogg C. (Nzl) - Ashley R. (Nzl) - Bathurst M. (Nzl)
Attendance 2 000
Start 24.05.2026 01:00 UTC
Match center

Nelson Dzhayents - Otago Nuggets

Array

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 7.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 142.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 143.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.52 65.8%
1.57 63.7%
1.70 58.8%
1.83 54.6%
2.00 50.0%
2.15 46.5%
1.40 71.4%
1.35 74.1%
1.45 69.0%
1.55 64.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.75 57.1%
1.65 60.6%
1.55 64.5%
1.48 67.6%
1.53 65.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.43 69.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 142.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 143.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 144.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 145.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 146.5 1.37 73.0%
Over 147.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 148.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 149.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 150.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 151.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 152.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 153.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 154.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 155.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 156.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 157.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 158.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 159.5 1.75 57.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.50 13.3%
1.03 97.1%