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New Zealand. NBL
New Zealand. NBL
16.07.2026 08:00 MSK Match prediction
16.07.2026 08:00 MSK
Finished

New Zealand. NBL

Otago Nuggets - Bay Hawks

Basketball
Otago Nuggets
Otago Nuggets
92 : 79
Finished
B
Bay Hawks
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Otago Nuggets — 78%

Pure model vs market (1 · Otago Nuggets): model 70% · market 80% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Otago Nuggets ✓ Прогноз77.9%
market80%
2 · Bay Hawks22.1%
market20%

Model estimate: win Otago Nuggets 77.9%, win Bay Hawks 22.1%. Model favourite — Otago Nuggets.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Otago Nuggets (odds1.19) confidence 70% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Otago Nuggets - Bay Hawks 16 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Otago Nuggets.

Line favourite market consensus: Otago Nuggets. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.19 / 2 4.80
  • Glicko: Otago Nuggets 77.9% / Bay Hawks 22.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 ✓ Прогноз 80.1%
2 19.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Otago Nuggets
3-2WWWLL
points for 99.1points against 89.1
Bay Hawks
3-7WWLLLLWLLL
points for 87.2points against 96.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated16.07.2026 05:56 MSK
1 83% ✓ favourite
2 17%
Score94:83 Total points: ТБ 174.5 Bet:Фора 1 (-9.5)
Claude updated16.07.2026 06:01 MSK
1 80% ✓ favourite
2 20%
Score89:78 Total points: ТМ 173.5 Bet:Фора Отаго -6.5
Qwen updated16.07.2026 05:59 MSK
1 79% ✓ favourite
2 21%
Score92:82 Total points: ТМ 185.5 Bet:П1 с форой (-8.5)
Kimi updated16.07.2026 06:04 MSK
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 22%
Score94:82 Total points: ТМ181.5 Bet:П1+ТМ181.5
Per AI data Form:W84-80,W92-88,L90-91,W90-77,W91-87 / L88-97,L74-96,L77-93,L93-117,L74-85
GLM 5.2 updated16.07.2026 06:06 MSK
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 22%
Score95:85 Total points: ТБ 180.5 Bet:П1 с форой -8.5

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 83% 17% 94:83 ТБ 174.5 Фора 1 (-9.5)
Claude 80% 20% 89:78 ТМ 173.5 Фора Отаго -6.5
Qwen 79% 21% 92:82 ТМ 185.5 П1 с форой (-8.5)
Kimi 78% 22% 94:82 ТМ181.5 П1+ТМ181.5
GLM 5.2 78% 22% 95:85 ТБ 180.5 П1 с форой -8.5

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 16.07.2026 08:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
Match center

Otago Nuggets - Bay Hawks

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 92:79
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Otago Nuggets 78.5% 77.9% market and model agree
Bay Hawks 21.5% 22.1%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 77.9% / 22.1% probabilities
Rating 1,757 / 896 Otago Nuggets / Bay Hawks
RD 154 / 159 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,450-2,064 / 579-1,213 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.39 market consensus · no value · model 22.1%
1 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 77.9%
Total
Over 177.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Over 178.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 -10.5 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4%
П1 -11.5 — — 1.86 53.8%
П2 +10.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8%
П2 +11.5 — — 1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
ТБ 177.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% —
ТБ 178.5 1.82 55.0% — 1.84 54.4%
ТБ 179 — — 1.86 53.8%
ТБ 179.5 — 1.90 52.6% —
ТМ 177.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% —
ТМ 178.5 1.88 53.2% — 1.86 53.8%
ТМ 179 — — 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 179.5 — 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5%
П2 4.06 24.6% 4.30 23.3% 4.80 20.8%
Match center
Otago Nuggets
W W L L L
12.07 07:00 МСК New Zealand: NBL
Otago Nuggets 84:80 Auckland TuataraAuckland Tuatara
10.07 05:00 МСК New Zealand: NBL
Otago Nuggets 92:88 Frenklin BullzFrenklin Bullz
04.07 08:30 МСК New Zealand: NBL
Otago Nuggets 90:91 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
13.06 08:30 МСК New Zealand: NBL
Otago Nuggets 58:93 Kenterberi RamsKenterberi Rams
07.06 04:00 МСК New Zealand: NBL
Otago Nuggets 90:96 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
2 Wins
3 Losses
82.8 Scored
89.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Bay Hawks
L L W L L
11.07 05:00 МСК New Zealand: NBL
Bay Hawks 88:97 Manavatu DzhetsManavatu Dzhets
02.07 08:00 МСК New Zealand: NBL
Bay Hawks 74:96 Taranaki AirsTaranaki Airs
13.06 05:30 МСК New Zealand: NBL
Bay Hawks 101:95 Frenklin BullzFrenklin Bullz
04.06 08:00 МСК New Zealand: NBL
Bay Hawks 85:94 Nelson DzhayentsNelson Dzhayents
30.05 05:00 МСК New Zealand: NBL
Bay Hawks 88:94 Tauranga Whai
1 Wins
4 Losses
87.2 Scored
95.2 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOtago Nuggets - Bay Hawks

Otago Nuggets
0 matches total
Bay Hawks
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history