New Zealand. NBL
Southland Sharks - Whai Tauranga
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Southland Sharks — 53%
Model estimate: win Southland Sharks 52.6%, win Whai Tauranga 47.4%. Model favourite — Southland Sharks.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Sautlend Sharks: forma V (1-0)
- • Vay Tauranga: forma VVPP (2)
- • liniya na pik P1 1.21→1.25 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
- • Model backs Sautlend Sharks: probability 53% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.27)
- • no edge over the line (-26 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Under 178.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 178.5 (odds 2.03)
- • Handicap F2 +8.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Southland Sharks - Whai Tauranga July 29, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.17 / 2 4.40
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Southland Sharks - Whai Tauranga
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.81 55.3% | — | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | — | 2.07 48.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 173.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 174.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 175.5 | — | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 176.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 177.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 178.5 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 180.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 176.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Under 177.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| Under 180.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.28 78.1% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 4.40 22.7% | 3.59 27.9% |
Form & head-to-head
Southland Sharks
Whai Tauranga
Nelson Dzhaynts
Otago Naggets
Vellington Seynts
Vellington Seynts
Full head-to-head historySouthland Sharks - Whai Tauranga
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form