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New Zealand. NBL
New Zealand. NBL International
29.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Not started

New Zealand. NBL

Southland Sharks - Whai Tauranga

International Basketball
Southland Sharks
Southland Sharks
- : -
Not started
Whai Tauranga
Whai Tauranga
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Southland Sharks53%

1 · Southland Sharks52.6%
2 · Whai Tauranga47.4%

Model estimate: win Southland Sharks 52.6%, win Whai Tauranga 47.4%. Model favourite — Southland Sharks.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Southland Sharks (odds1.27) Score 81:79 Under 178.5 (odds2.03) Handicap H2 +8.5 (odds1.85) confidence 53%
  • Sautlend Sharks: forma V (1-0)
  • Vay Tauranga: forma VVPP (2)
  • liniya na pik P1 1.21→1.25 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • Model backs Sautlend Sharks: probability 53% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.27)
  • no edge over the line (-26 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 178.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 178.5 (odds 2.03)
  • Handicap F2 +8.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Southland Sharks - Whai Tauranga July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Southland Sharks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.17 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 79.0%
2 21.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.21 ↑ 1.25
Pobeditel P2 3.90 ↓ 3.55

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Form 4 matches
Match center

Southland Sharks - Whai Tauranga

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Southland Sharks 74.0% 52.6% market and model agree
Whai Tauranga 26.0% 47.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 52.6% / 47.4% probabilities
Rating 1,764 / 1,758 Southland Sharks / Whai Tauranga
RD 291 / 201 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,181-2,347 / 1,357-2,160 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.40 Fonbet · weak value +108.8% · model 47.4%
1 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 52.6%
Total
Over 173.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 174.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3%
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6%
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6%
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.67 59.9%
2.07 48.3%
2.07 48.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 173.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 174.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 175.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 176.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.70 58.8%
Over 177.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.77 56.5%
Over 178.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 180.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
Under 176.5 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2%
Under 177.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
Under 180.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.17 85.5% 1.28 78.1%
3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 4.40 22.7% 3.59 27.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-0-1
2026-06-24 · Sautlend Sharks 102:96 Uey
2026-04-26 · Sautlend Sharks 106:84 Uey
2025-06-29 · Sautlend Sharks 98:88 Uey
2025-04-17 · Sautlend Sharks 84:78 Uey
2024-06-21 · Sautlend Sharks 93:82 Uey
Source: ruscore
Southland Sharks
W
18.07 04:00 UTC New Zealand. NBL
Southland Sharks 103:62 Bey Khoks
1 Wins
0 Losses
103.0 Scored
62.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Whai Tauranga
W W L L
25.07 07:30 UTC New Zealand. NBL
Whai Tauranga 91:78 Nelson DzhayntsNelson Dzhaynts
22.07 07:00 UTC New Zealand. NBL
Whai Tauranga 107:66 Otago NaggetsOtago Naggets
18.07 07:30 UTC New Zealand. NBL
Whai Tauranga 95:107 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
10.07 07:30 UTC New Zealand. NBL
Whai Tauranga 92:109 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
2 Wins
2 Losses
96.3 Scored
90.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage