New Zealand. NBL
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Taranaki Airs — 56%
Pure model vs market (1 · Taranaki Airs): model 59% · market 56% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Taranaki Airs 55.6%, win Nelson Dzhayents 44.4%. Model favourite — Taranaki Airs.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Taranaki Airs.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -1.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% |
| П1 -2 | — | — | 1.84 54.4% |
| П1 -2.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.86 53.8% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +2 | — | — | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.84 54.4% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 177.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.84 54.4% |
| ТБ 178.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 179.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.81 55.3% |
| ТБ 180.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% |
| ТБ 182.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТМ 177.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.86 53.8% |
| ТМ 178.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТМ 179.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.89 52.9% |
| ТМ 180.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| ТМ 182.5 | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.67 59.9% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.69 59.2% |
| П2 | 2.07 48.3% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.14 46.7% |
Taranaki Airs
Kenterberi Rams
Auckland Tuatara
Manavatu Dzhets
Nelson Dzhayents
Manavatu Dzhets
Sautlend Sharks
Frenklin Bullz
Sautlend Sharks
Full head-to-head historyTaranaki Airs - Nelson Dzhayents
