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New Zealand. NBL
New Zealand. NBL
15.07.2026 05:00 UTC Match prediction
15.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

New Zealand. NBL

Taranaki Airs - Nelson Giants

Basketball
Taranaki Airs
Taranaki Airs
73 : 98
Finished
Nelson Giants
Nelson Giants
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Taranaki Airs (odds1.77) Score 81:79 confidence 53% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Taranaki Airs: forma PVVPP (2-3)
  • • Nelson Dzhayents: forma PPVPP (1-4)
  • • Model backs Taranaki Airs: probability 53% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.77)
  • • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Taranaki Airs - Nelson Giants July 15, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Taranaki Airs. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / 2 2.14

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 55.9%
2 44.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Taranaki Airs
2-8LLLLLLWWLL
points for 81.0points against 90.0
Nelson Giants
2-8LLLLWLLWLL
points for 85.0points against 90.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Match center

Taranaki Airs - Nelson Giants

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.08 market consensus · line only
1 1.68 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 177.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Over 178 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.84 54.4%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
— — 1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 177.5 1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4%
Over 178.5 1.82 55.0% 1.90 52.6%
Over 179.5 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3%
Over 180.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
Over 182.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
Under 177.5 1.88 53.2% 1.86 53.8%
Under 178.5 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6%
Under 179.5 1.88 53.2% 1.89 52.9%
Under 180.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 182.5 1.89 52.9% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.69 59.2%
2.07 48.3% 2.04 49.0% 2.14 46.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-0-3
2026-07-15 · Taranaki Eyrs 73:98 Nelson Dzhayents
2026-05-02 · Taranaki Eyrs 91:107 Nelson Dzhayents
2025-06-18 · Taranaki Eyrs 71:82 Nelson Dzhayents
2025-04-05 · Taranaki Eyrs 108:93 Nelson Dzhayents
2024-07-17 · Taranaki Eyrs 87:74 Nelson Dzhayents
Source: ruscore
Taranaki Airs
L W W L L
09.07 05:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Taranaki Airs 90:93 Kenterberi RamsKenterberi Rams
02.07 05:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Taranaki Airs 96:74 Bey Khoks
12.06 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Taranaki Airs 85:73 Tauranga Whai
06.06 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Taranaki Airs 69:90 Auckland TuataraAuckland Tuatara
29.05 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Taranaki Airs 77:89 Manavatu DzhetsManavatu Dzhets
2 Wins
3 Losses
83.4 Scored
83.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Nelson Giants
L L W L L
13.07 05:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Nelson Giants 113:120 Manavatu DzhetsManavatu Dzhets
11.07 05:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Nelson Giants 71:83 Sautlend SharksSautlend Sharks
05.07 01:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Nelson Giants 88:85 Frenklin BullzFrenklin Bullz
12.06 23:30 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Nelson Giants 85:95 Sautlend SharksSautlend Sharks
06.06 02:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL
Nelson Giants 58:69 Tauranga Whai
1 Wins
4 Losses
83.0 Scored
90.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage