Match center
Start
04.07.2026 02:00 UTC
04.07.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished
New Zealand. NBL
Tauranga Whai - Auckland Tuatara
T
Tauranga Whai
59
:
109
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
2Auckland Tuatara — 91%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Tauranga Whai - Auckland Tuatara July 4, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Auckland Tuatara. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 9.5%
1
9.6%
2
90.4%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Tauranga Whai
Overall
WLLLL
Net -10.9
Home
LLW
Net -1.1
Away
WLL
Net -19.5
Auckland Tuatara
Overall
WWWWW
Net +23.1
Home
WWW
Net +25.1
Away
WWW
Net +21.3
Team stats
Tauranga Whai
Overall · Home/Away
Auckland Tuatara
40.0%H 42.9% · A 37.5%Win %86.7%H 100.0% · A 75.0%
-10.9H -1.1 · A -19.5Point differential23.1H 25.1 · A 21.3
85.2H 87.1 · A 83.5Points per game95.6H 97.4 · A 94.0
90.7H 87.7 · A 93.3Conceded84.1H 84.9 · A 83.4
46.3%H 47.0% · A 45.8%FG, %48.9%H 49.3% · A 48.6%
46.7H 71.4 · A 25.01st half73.3A 62.5
78.2H 78.7 · A 77.9Pace80.2H 82.0 · A 78.5
109.3H 108.7 · A 109.8Offensive rating118.4H 115.7 · A 121.1
116.3H 115.7 · A 116.9Defensive rating104.1H 101.7 · A 106.5
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Tauranga Whai
Total (over)
Auckland Tuatara
85.2
Points per game
95.6
53.3%
O 86.5
86.7%
46.7%
O 87.5
86.7%
40.0%
O 88.5
80.0%
40.0%
O 89.5
80.0%
40.0%
O 90.5среднее
73.3%
40.0%
O 91.5
66.7%
40.0%
O 92.5
66.7%
33.3%
O 93.5
60.0%
Over 101.5 - 130.5
Tauranga Whai
Total (over)
Auckland Tuatara
0.0%
O 104.5
13.3%
0.0%
O 105.5
13.3%
0.0%
O 106.5
13.3%
0.0%
O 107.5
6.7%
0.0%
O 108.5
6.7%
0.0%
O 109.5
6.7%
0.0%
O 110.5
6.7%
0.0%
O 111.5
6.7%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Tauranga Whai 42.7 / Auckland Tuatara 47.1
Tauranga Whai
Total (over)
Auckland Tuatara
46.7%
O 43.5
66.7%
46.7%
O 44.5среднее
66.7%
40.0%
O 45.5
60.0%
33.3%
O 46.5
53.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Tauranga Whai 41.5 / Auckland Tuatara 48.5
Tauranga Whai
Total (over)
Auckland Tuatara
33.3%
O 43.5
73.3%
33.3%
O 44.5среднее
73.3%
26.7%
O 45.5
60.0%
13.3%
O 46.5
53.3%
Form and head-to-head • NBL
Team stats
Tauranga Whai
LLLWWLWLLW
W 4 • D 0 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:83.7 : 89.9
6 place, 12 pts
Auckland Tuatara
WLWWWWWWWW
W 9 • D 0 • L 1 (10)
Goals average:95.3 : 83.3
2 place, 26 pts
Head-to-head: 5 — Tauranga Whai 1, draws 0, Auckland Tuatara 4 (goals 357:442)
- Auckland Huskies — Whai Tauranga2026-05-23 96:71
- Auckland Huskies — Whai Tauranga2025-06-08 78:59
- Whai Tauranga — Auckland Huskies2025-03-25 78:76
- Auckland Huskies — Whai Tauranga2024-06-16 100:77
- Whai Tauranga — Auckland Huskies2024-04-06 72:92
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
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Match center
Tauranga Whai - Auckland Tuatara
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1
9.50
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 166.5
1.50
Fonbet · line only
Over 167.5
1.50
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.89 52.9% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| — | 1.52 65.8% | |
| — | 1.58 63.3% | |
| — | 1.55 64.5% | |
| — | 1.65 60.6% | |
| — | 1.73 57.8% | |
| — | 1.82 55.0% | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | 1.58 63.3% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | |
| 1.80 55.6% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 166.5 | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 167.5 | — | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 168.5 | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 169.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 170.5 | — | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 171.5 | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 172.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 173.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 174.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 175.5 | — | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 176.5 | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 177.5 | — | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 178.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 173.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 174.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 178.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.00 7.1% | 9.50 10.5% | 14.00 7.1% | |
| 1.03 97.1% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
Match center
Tauranga Whai
W
L
W
W
Tauranga Whai
96:92
Manavatu Dzhets
Manavatu Dzhets
Tauranga Whai
73:85
Taranaki Airs
Taranaki Airs
Tauranga Whai
69:58
Nelson Dzhayents
Nelson Dzhayents
Tauranga Whai
94:88
Bey Khoks
3
Wins
1
Losses
83.0
Scored
80.8
Conceded
75%
Win percentage
Auckland Tuatara
W
W
W
W
Auckland Tuatara
96:88
Vellington Seynts
Vellington Seynts
Auckland Tuatara
90:69
Taranaki Airs
Taranaki Airs
Auckland Tuatara
100:97
Kenterberi Rams
Kenterberi Rams
Auckland Tuatara
107:72
Frenklin Bullz
Frenklin Bullz
4
Wins
0
Losses
98.3
Scored
81.5
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyTauranga Whai - Auckland Tuatara
Tauranga Whai
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals