North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) - Nicaragua (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) — 84%
Pure model vs market (1 · Bagamskie ostrova (Zh)): model 51% · market 87% Δ −36 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) 83.8%, win Nicaragua (w) 16.2%. Model favourite — Bagamskie ostrova (Zh).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) - Nicaragua (w) 14 июля 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bagamskie ostrova (Zh).
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.08 / 2 7.30
- Glicko: Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) 83.8% / Nicaragua (w) 16.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) - Nicaragua (w)
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| П1 -11.5 | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| П1 -13.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П1 -14.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П1 -9.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +11.5 | 1.79 55.9% | — |
| П2 +13.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +14.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| П2 +9.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 139.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 141.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 143.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 145.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| ТБ 146.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 139.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 141.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 143.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% |
| ТМ 145.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| ТМ 146.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.08 92.6% | 1.06 94.3% |
| П2 | 6.20 16.1% | 7.30 13.7% |
Nicaragua (w)
Full head-to-head historyBagamskie ostrova (Zh) - Nicaragua (w)