North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
13.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women

Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) - Nicaragua (w)

Basketball
B
Bagamskie ostrova (Zh)
73 : 67
Finished
Nicaragua (w)
Nicaragua (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Bagamskie ostrova (Zh)84%

Pure model vs market (1 · Bagamskie ostrova (Zh)): model 51% · market 87% Δ −36 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) ✓ Прогноз83.8%
market87%
2 · Nicaragua (w)16.2%
market13%

Model estimate: win Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) 83.8%, win Nicaragua (w) 16.2%. Model favourite — Bagamskie ostrova (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) - Nicaragua (w) 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bagamskie ostrova (Zh).

Line favourite market consensus: Bagamskie ostrova (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.08 / 2 7.30
  • Glicko: Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) 83.8% / Nicaragua (w) 16.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 ✓ Прогноз 87.1%
2 12.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 13.07.2026 23:30 UTC
Form 2 matches
Match center

Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) - Nicaragua (w)

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 73:67
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) 86.2% 83.8% market and model agree
Nicaragua (w) 13.8% 16.2%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 83.8% / 16.2% probabilities
Rating 1,236 / 1,161 Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) / Nicaragua (w)
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 654-1,818 / 579-1,743 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.75 market consensus · no value · model 16.2%
1 1.07 market consensus · no value · model 83.8%
Total
Over 139.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 141.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
П1 -11.5 1.89 52.9%
П1 -13.5 1.85 54.1%
П1 -14.5 1.84 54.4%
П1 -9.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
П2 +11.5 1.79 55.9%
П2 +13.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +14.5 1.84 54.4%
П2 +9.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
ТБ 139.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 141.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 143.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 145.5 1.84 54.4%
ТБ 146.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 139.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 141.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 143.5 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2%
ТМ 145.5 1.84 54.4%
ТМ 146.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
П1 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3%
П2 6.20 16.1% 7.30 13.7%
Match center
Bagamskie ostrova (Zh)
L
12.07 21:00 UTC North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
Bagamskie ostrova (Zh) 65:72 Dominican Republic (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
65.0 Scored
72.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Nicaragua (w)
L
12.07 23:30 UTC North I CentralALNAYa AMERIKA: Centrobasket Championship Women
Nicaragua (w) 66:103 Mexico (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Losses
66.0 Scored
103.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage