New Zealand: NBL - Playoff
Canterbury Rams - Sharks
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Canterbury Rams — 56%
Model estimate: win Canterbury Rams 56.3%, win Sharks 43.7%. Model favourite — Canterbury Rams.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Canterbury Rams - Sharks July 31, 2026
Basketball math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sharks.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 5.80 / 2 1.10
- Glicko: Canterbury Rams 56.3% / Sharks 43.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Canterbury Rams - Sharks
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.77 56.5% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.77 56.5% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 2.03 49.3% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.87 53.5% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.77 56.5% | |
| 2.00 50.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 218.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 219.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 220.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 221.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 222.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 223.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 224.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 225.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| Over 226.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 227.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| Over 228.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 229.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Over 230.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| Over 231.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 234.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
| Over 235.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 236.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 237.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 5.80 17.2% | |
| 1.10 90.9% |
Canterbury Rams
Frenklin Bullz
Auckland Tuatara
Vellington Seynts
Taranaki Airs
Manavatu Dzhets
Sharks
Full head-to-head historyCanterbury Rams - Sharks
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form