New Zealand: NBL - Playoff
Southland Sharks - Tauranga Whai
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Southland Sharks — 73%
Pure model vs market (1 · Southland Sharks): model 62% · market 75% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Southland Sharks 72.7%, win Tauranga Whai 27.3%. Model favourite — Southland Sharks.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Sautlend Sharks: forma PVVVV (4-1)
- • Tauranga Whai: forma VVPPP (2-3)
- • Model backs Sautlend Sharks: probability 71% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
- • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Southland Sharks - Tauranga Whai July 29, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / 2 3.81
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total points | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 76% | 24% | 100:91 | Under 194.5 | Win Sautlend Sharks with handicap (-7.5) |
| Claude | 76% | 24% | 94:81 | Under 178.5 | Handicap 1 (-8.5) |
| Qwen | 78% | 7% | 2:0 | Under 2.5 | Win DAC Dunayska Streda |
| GLM 5.2 | 72% | 28% | 98:92 | Over 195.5 |
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Southland Sharks - Tauranga Whai
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.81 55.3% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| — | — | 1.87 53.5% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 175.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 176.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.84 54.4% |
| Over 177 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 177.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.86 53.8% |
| Under 175.5 | — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| Under 176.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 177 | — | — | 1.86 53.8% |
| Under 177.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.84 54.4% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.23 81.3% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.25 80.0% | |
| 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.81 26.3% |
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Full head-to-head historySouthland Sharks - Tauranga Whai
Match history
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The Southland Sharks - Tauranga Whai breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form