New Zealand: NBL - Playoff
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Wellington Saints — 84%
Pure model vs market (1 · Wellington Saints): model 65% · market 85% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Wellington Saints 84.1%, win Otago Nuggets 15.9%. Model favourite — Wellington Saints.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | — | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | |
| — | — | 1.80 55.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 183.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 184.5 | — | — | 1.88 53.2% |
| Under 183.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 184.5 | — | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.11 90.1% | |
| 6.40 15.6% | 6.40 15.6% | 6.40 15.6% |
Wellington Saints
Sautlend Sharks
Otago Nuggets
Oklend Tuatara
Full head-to-head historyWellington Saints - Otago Nuggets
The Wellington Saints - Otago Nuggets breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
