New Zealand. NBL
New Zealand. NBL International
13.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

New Zealand. NBL

Manawatu Jets - Nelson Dzhaynts

International Basketball
Manawatu Jets
Manawatu Jets
120 : 113
Finished
Nelson Dzhaynts
Nelson Dzhaynts
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Manawatu Jets60%

Pure model vs market (1 · Manawatu Jets): model 52% · market 83% Δ −31 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Manawatu Jets ✓ Прогноз60.0%
market83%
2 · Nelson Dzhaynts40.0%
market17%

Model estimate: win Manawatu Jets 60.0%, win Nelson Dzhaynts 40.0%. Model favourite — Manawatu Jets.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Manawatu Jets (odds1.67) confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manawatu Jets - Nelson Dzhaynts 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manawatu Jets.

Line favourite Fonbet: Manawatu Jets. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.09 / 2 5.20
  • Glicko: Manawatu Jets 60.0% / Nelson Dzhaynts 40.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.0%
1 ✓ Прогноз 82.7%
2 17.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.53 → 1.53
Победитель П2 2.33 → 2.33

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Manawatu Jets
4-6LLWWLWLLLW
points for 93.0points against 98.7
Nelson Dzhaynts

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Form 5 matches
Match center

Manawatu Jets - Nelson Dzhaynts

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 120:113
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Manawatu Jets 60.6% 60.0% market and model agree
Nelson Dzhaynts 39.4% 40.0%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 60.0% / 40.0% probabilities
Rating 1,322 / 1,156 Manawatu Jets / Nelson Dzhaynts
RD 158 / 290 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,006-1,638 / 576-1,736 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.20 Fonbet · no value · model 40.0%
1 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 60.0%
Total
Over 178.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 179.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +1.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
П1 -1.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
П1 -3.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
П1 -4.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6%
П2 +1.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%
П2 +3.5 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3%
П2 +4.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
П2 -1.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.68 59.5%
П2 -2.5 1.75 57.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 178.5 1.52 65.8%
ТБ 179.5 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 182.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 184.5 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 186.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
ТБ 187.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
ТМ 182.5 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 184.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 186.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%
ТМ 187.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.65 60.6%
П2 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 5.20 19.2% 2.20 45.5%
Match center
Manawatu Jets
W
11.07 04:00 UTC New Zealand. NBL
Manawatu Jets 97:88 Bey Khoks
1 Wins
0 Losses
97.0 Scored
88.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Nelson Dzhaynts
L
11.07 07:30 UTC New Zealand. NBL
Nelson Dzhaynts 71:83 Sautlend SharksSautlend Sharks
0 Wins
1 Losses
71.0 Scored
83.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage