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New Zealand. NBL
New Zealand. NBL International
15.07.2026 10:00 MSK Match prediction
15.07.2026 10:00 MSK
Finished

New Zealand. NBL

Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs - Nelson Dzhaynts

International Basketball
Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs
Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs
73 : 98
Finished
Nelson Dzhaynts
Nelson Dzhaynts
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs): model 52% · market 8% Δ +44 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs ✓ Прогноз58.4%
market8%
2 · Nelson Dzhaynts41.6%
market92%

Model estimate: win Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs 58.4%, win Nelson Dzhaynts 41.6%. Model favourite — Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs (odds1.94) confidence 54% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs - Nelson Dzhaynts 15 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nelson Dzhaynts.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nelson Dzhaynts. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs 58.4% / Nelson Dzhaynts 41.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Прогноз 8.4%
2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.00 ↑ 11.00
Победитель П2 1.72 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

5Wins5
85.0Points on average83.0

Head-to-head matches: 10 · average total 168.0 (points)

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated15.07.2026 11:06 MSK
1 59% ✓ favourite
2 41%
Score98:92 Total points: ТБ 180.5 Bet:П1
AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 59% 41% 98:92 ТБ 180.5 П1

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 10:00 MSK
Form 3 matches
Match center

Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs - Nelson Dzhaynts

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 73:98
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs 58.9% 58.4% market and model agree
Nelson Dzhaynts 41.1% 41.6%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 58.4% / 41.6% probabilities
Rating 1,401 / 1,085 Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs / Nelson Dzhaynts
RD 291 / 257 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 819-1,983 / 571-1,598 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 41.6%
1 1.58 market consensus · no value · model 58.4%
Total
Over 156.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Over 157.5 1.42 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -1.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% —
П1 -2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% —
П1 -3.5 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% —
П2 +1.5 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% —
П2 +2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% —
П2 +3.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% —
П2 -1.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
П2 -2.5 — — 1.42 70.4%
П2 -3.5 — — 1.40 71.4%
П2 -4.5 — — 1.67 59.9%
П2 -5.5 — — 1.72 58.1%
П2 -6.5 — — 1.64 61.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
ТБ 175.5 1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4%
ТБ 176.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 177.5 1.82 55.0% —
ТБ 179.5 1.82 55.0% —
ТБ 180.5 1.85 54.1% —
ТБ 181.5 1.79 55.9% —
ТБ 182.5 1.87 53.5% —
ТБ 183.5 1.87 53.5% —
ТМ 175.5 1.88 53.2% —
ТМ 176.5 1.85 54.1% —
ТМ 177.5 1.88 53.2% —
ТМ 179.5 1.88 53.2% —
ТМ 180.5 1.83 54.6% —
ТМ 181.5 1.89 52.9% —
ТМ 182.5 1.81 55.3% —
ТМ 183.5 1.81 55.3% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 11.00 9.1% 1.62 61.7%
П2 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 1.01 99.0% 2.27 44.1%
Match center
Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs
L
09.07 10:00 МСК New Zealand. NBL
Taranaki Maunteyn Eyrs 90:91 Kenterberi Rems
0 Wins
1 Losses
90.0 Scored
91.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Nelson Dzhaynts
L L
13.07 10:00 МСК New Zealand. NBL
Nelson Dzhaynts 113:120 Manavatu DzhetsManavatu Dzhets
11.07 10:30 МСК New Zealand. NBL
Nelson Dzhaynts 71:83 Sautlend SharksSautlend Sharks
0 Wins
2 Losses
92.0 Scored
101.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage