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Orlen Basket Liga
Orlen Basket Liga Poland
06.05.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
06.05.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Orlen Basket Liga

Poland

MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza - TBV Start Lublin

Poland Basketball
MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza
MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza
105 : 100
Finished
TBV Start Lublin
TBV Start Lublin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza - TBV Start Lublin May 6, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / 2 5.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 84.1%
2 15.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza - TBV Start Lublin

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
1.17 85.4% 1.22 81.8% 1.11 90.5% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0% 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.1% 1.20 83.3%
4.74 21.1% 3.75 26.7% 6.25 16.0% 8.50 11.8% 11.00 9.1% 17.00 5.9% 14.52 6.9% 15.68 6.4% 4.00 25.0%
Match center
MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza
L L
01.05 18:15 UTC Orlen Basket Liga
MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza 85:90 Legia Warszawa
10.04 17:00 UTC Orlen Basket Liga
MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza 70:83 Arka Gdynia
0 Wins
2 Losses
77.5 Scored
86.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
TBV Start Lublin
L W L
03.05 15:30 UTC Orlen Basket Liga
TBV Start Lublin 80:101 Arka Gdynia
26.04 15:30 UTC Orlen Basket Liga
TBV Start Lublin 86:82 GTK Gliwice
11.04 10:30 UTC Orlen Basket Liga
TBV Start Lublin 97:103 Energa Trefl Sopot
1 Wins
2 Losses
87.7 Scored
95.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage