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Orlen Basket Liga
Orlen Basket Liga Poland
06.05.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
06.05.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Orlen Basket Liga

Poland

Zastal Zielona Góra - Dziki Warszawa

Poland Basketball
Zastal Zielona Góra
Zastal Zielona Góra
105 : 86
Finished
D
Dziki Warszawa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zastal Zielona Góra - Dziki Warszawa May 6, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zastal Zielona Góra. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Zastal Zielona Góra - Dziki Warszawa

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.63 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
1.67 59.9% 1.67 60.0% 1.65 60.8% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.4% 1.65 60.6%
2.14 46.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 9.50 10.5% 11.00 9.1% 17.00 5.9% 15.51 6.5% 16.77 6.0% 2.05 48.8%
Match center
Zastal Zielona Góra
L W
03.05 10:30 UTC Orlen Basket Liga
Zastal Zielona Góra 76:80 Śląsk Wrocław (Cyber)
13.04 18:15 UTC Orlen Basket Liga
Zastal Zielona Góra 82:75 Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
1 Wins
1 Losses
79.0 Scored
77.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Dziki Warszawa
W W
30.04 16:00 UTC Orlen Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa 78:73 Anwil Włocławek
10.04 18:15 UTC Orlen Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa 83:82 Twarde Pierniki Toruń
2 Wins
0 Losses
80.5 Scored
77.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage