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PBA Commissioner's Cup
PBA Commissioner's Cup Philippines
06.05.2026 09:15 UTC Match prediction
06.05.2026 09:15 UTC
Finished

PBA Commissioner's Cup

Philippines

Macau Black Bears - Phoenix Fuel Masters

Philippines Basketball
M
Macau Black Bears
105 : 98
Finished
Phoenix Fuel Masters
Phoenix Fuel Masters

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Macau Black Bears - Phoenix Fuel Masters May 6, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Phoenix Fuel Masters. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 5.70 / 2 1.84

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin -28.1%
1 24.4%
2 75.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 09:15 UTC
Match center

Macau Black Bears - Phoenix Fuel Masters

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.35 market consensus · line only
1 4.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 1xBet 888Sport Betfair Betsson CashPoint CloudBet Dafabet Duelbits GGBet
4.50 22.3% 1.60 62.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.80 55.6% 2.16 46.3% 3.55 28.2% 6.40 15.6% 8.70 11.5% 2.29 43.7%
1.19 84.4% 2.25 44.4% 1.73 57.8% 1.84 54.4% 10.69 9.4% 1.14 87.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.05 95.2% 1.58 63.3%
Match center
Macau Black Bears
L W L L
02.05 09:15 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Macau Black Bears 84:102 Terrafirma Dip
28.04 09:15 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Macau Black Bears 123:119 Blackwater Bossing
14.04 09:15 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Macau Black Bears 97:106 NLEX Road Warriors
11.04 11:30 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Macau Black Bears 110:115 Meralco Bolts
1 Wins
3 Losses
103.5 Scored
110.5 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Phoenix Fuel Masters
W L
01.05 09:15 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Phoenix Fuel Masters 100:97 TNT Tropang 5GTNT Tropang 5G
12.04 11:30 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Phoenix Fuel Masters 96:109 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
1 Wins
1 Losses
98.0 Scored
103.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage