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PBA Commissioner's Cup
PBA Commissioner's Cup Philippines
PBA Commissioner's Cup 03.05.2026 09:15 UTC Match prediction
03.05.2026 09:15 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Finished

PBA Commissioner's Cup

Philippines

Meralco Bolts - Blackwater Bossing

Philippines Basketball
Meralco Bolts
Meralco Bolts
108 : 93
Finished
Blackwater Bossing
Blackwater Bossing

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Meralco Bolts - Blackwater Bossing May 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Meralco Bolts. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.08 / 2 6.87

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 86.4%
2 13.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.05.2026 09:15 UTC
Match center

Meralco Bolts - Blackwater Bossing

PBA Commissioner's Cup

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.87 market consensus · line only
1 1.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome BetBoom
1.08 92.6%
6.87 14.6%
Match center
Meralco Bolts
W L W
01.05 11:30 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Meralco Bolts 112:91 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
28.04 11:30 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Meralco Bolts 92:103 San Miguel Beermen
11.04 11:30 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Meralco Bolts 115:110 Macau Black Bears
2 Wins
1 Losses
106.3 Scored
101.3 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Blackwater Bossing
L L
28.04 09:15 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Blackwater Bossing 119:123 Macau Black Bears
14.04 11:30 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Blackwater Bossing 94:99 TNT Tropang 5GTNT Tropang 5G
0 Wins
2 Losses
106.5 Scored
111.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage