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PBA Commissioner's Cup
PBA Commissioner's Cup Philippines
08.05.2026 09:15 UTC Match prediction
08.05.2026 09:15 UTC
Finished

PBA Commissioner's Cup

Philippines

Terrafirma Dyip - Meralco Bolts

Philippines Basketball
T
Terrafirma Dyip
69 : 113
Finished
Meralco Bolts
Meralco Bolts

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Terrafirma Dyip - Meralco Bolts May 8, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Meralco Bolts. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 14.00 / 2 1.02

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 6.8%
2 93.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.05.2026 09:15 UTC
Match center

Terrafirma Dyip - Meralco Bolts

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 8.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 176.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Over 179.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome 1xBet
1.83 54.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.89 52.9%
1.86 53.8%
1.89 52.9%
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.84 54.4%
1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.92 52.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.82 55.0%
1.82 55.0%
1.89 52.9%
1.87 53.5%
1.96 51.2%
2.08 48.2%

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 181.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 183.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 186.5 1.96 51.2%
Over 189.5 1.82 55.1%
Over 190.5 1.82 55.1%
Over 191.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 194.5 1.71 58.3%
Over 194.75 1.81 55.3%
Over 195.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 199.25 1.82 55.0%
Over 199.5 1.82 55.1%
Over 200.5 1.89 52.9%
Over 208.25 1.83 54.7%
Over 208.5 1.78 56.1%
Over 210.25 1.80 55.7%
Under 181.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 183.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 186.5 1.79 55.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin CashPoint CloudBet Coral
12.50 8.0% 34.00 2.9% 17.00 5.9% 21.00 4.8% 8.00 12.5% 34.00 2.9% 36.66 2.7% 9.00 11.1% 10.00 10.0%
1.01 99.1% 1.00 99.8% 1.01 99.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0% 13.75 7.3% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Terrafirma Dyip
W L
02.05 09:15 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Terrafirma Dyip 102:84 Macau Black Bears
11.04 09:15 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Terrafirma Dyip 89:101 TNT Tropang 5GTNT Tropang 5G
1 Wins
1 Losses
95.5 Scored
92.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Meralco Bolts
W W L W
03.05 09:15 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Meralco Bolts 108:93 Blackwater Bossing
01.05 11:30 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Meralco Bolts 112:91 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
28.04 11:30 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Meralco Bolts 92:103 San Miguel Beermen
11.04 11:30 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Meralco Bolts 115:110 Macau Black Bears
3 Wins
1 Losses
106.8 Scored
99.3 Conceded
75% Win percentage