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PBA Commissioner's Cup
PBA Commissioner's Cup Philippines
05.05.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction
05.05.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

PBA Commissioner's Cup

Philippines

TNT Tropang 5G - Magnolia Chicken Timplados

Philippines Basketball
TNT Tropang 5G
TNT Tropang 5G
94 : 106
Finished
Magnolia Chicken Timplados
Magnolia Chicken Timplados

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction TNT Tropang 5G - Magnolia Chicken Timplados May 5, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: TNT Tropang 5G. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.59 / 2 2.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 58.6%
2 41.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

TNT Tropang 5G
5-5LWLWWLWLWL
points for 94.7points against 96.2
Magnolia Chicken Timplados

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 05.05.2026 11:30 UTC
Match center

TNT Tropang 5G - Magnolia Chicken Timplados

Array

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.25 market consensus · line only
1 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome BetBoom
1.59 62.9%
2.25 44.4%
Match center
TNT Tropang 5G
L W W
01.05 09:15 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
TNT Tropang 5G 97:100 Phoenix Fuel Masters
14.04 11:30 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
TNT Tropang 5G 99:94 Blackwater Bossing
11.04 09:15 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
TNT Tropang 5G 101:89 Terrafirma Dip
2 Wins
1 Losses
99.0 Scored
94.3 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Magnolia Chicken Timplados
W W L
29.04 09:15 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Magnolia Chicken Timplados 135:98 Titan Ultra Giant RisersTitan Ultra Giant Risers
12.04 09:15 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Magnolia Chicken Timplados 120:101 San Miguel Beermen
10.04 11:30 UTC PBA Commissioner's Cup
Magnolia Chicken Timplados 89:91 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
2 Wins
1 Losses
114.7 Scored
96.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage