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Philippines. PBA. Governor's Cup
Philippines. PBA. Governor's Cup
07.08.2026 09:15 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
07.08.2026 09:15 UTC
Finished

Philippines. PBA. Governor's Cup

Terrafirma Dyip - NLEX Road Warriors

Basketball
T
Terrafirma Dyip
88 : 84
Finished
NLEX Road Warriors
NLEX Road Warriors

Terrafirma Dyip meet NLEX Road Warriors on August 7, 2026 in the Philippines. PBA. Governor's Cup.

Recent form (W-D-L): Terrafirma Dyip 1-0-4, NLEX Road Warriors 5-0-0. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 36% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 NLEX Road Warriors — 64%

1 · Terrafirma Dyip35.6%
market20%
2 · NLEX Road Warriors ✓ Pick64.4%
market80%

Model estimate: win Terrafirma Dyip 35.6%, win NLEX Road Warriors 64.4%. Model favourite — NLEX Road Warriors.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2NLEX Road Warriors (odds1.56) Score 78:82 confidence 64% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Terrafirma Dip: forma PPVPP (1-4)
  • • NLEKS Roud Uorriors: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs NLEKS Roud Uorriors: probability 64% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.56)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Terrafirma Dyip - NLEX Road Warriors August 7, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Terrafirma Dyip.

Line favourite Fonbet: Terrafirma Dyip. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / 2 2.40
  • Glicko: Terrafirma Dyip 35.6% / NLEX Road Warriors 64.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.8% 4 books · best price +104.3%
1 20.1%
2 ✓ Pick 79.9%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Terrafirma Dyip
20%
5.00
NLEX Road Warriors
80%
2.40
Total
Over 211.5
50%
1.90
Under 211.5
50%
1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Terrafirma Dyip
#5GP 73-4
NLEX Road Warriors
#1GP 76-1

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

7Wins20
97.7Points on average105.1

Head-to-head matches: 27 · average total 202.8 (points)

Team form

Terrafirma Dyip
4-6WLLWLLLWLW
points for 101.8points against 104.9
NLEX Road Warriors
7-3WLLWWWWWWL
points for 110.4points against 100.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

Terrafirma DyipNLEX Road Warriors
  • 1' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 1' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 2' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 3' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 3' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 4' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 4' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 4' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 4' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 5' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 5' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 5' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 5' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 5' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 6' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 6' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 7' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 7' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 7' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 8' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 8' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 8' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 8' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 9' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 9' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 9' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 10' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 10' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 11' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 11' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 11' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 11' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 12' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 12' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 13' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 13' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 14' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 14' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 14' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 15' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 15' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 15' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 16' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 16' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 17' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 17' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 17' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 17' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 18' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 18' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 18' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 19' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 19' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 19' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 19' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 20' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 20' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 20' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 21' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 21' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 21' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 22' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 22' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 22' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 23' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 23' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 23' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 24' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 25' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 25' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 27' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 27' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 28' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 28' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 28' Goal NLEX Road Warriors
  • 29' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 29' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 29' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 29' Goal Terrafirma Dyip
  • 29' Goal NLEX Road Warriors

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 07:18 UTC
1 36%
2 64% ✓ favourite
Score97:103 Total points: Under 204.5 Bet:AH2(-5.5)
Per AI data H2H: 0-0-1
Claude updated04.08.2026 07:22 UTC
1 27%
2 73% ✓ favourite
Score100:110 Total points: Over 207.5 Bet:2 (win NLEKS Roud Uorriors)

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 36% 64% 97:103 Under 204.5 AH2(-5.5)
Claude 27% 73% 100:110 Over 207.5

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Match center
Start 07.08.2026 09:15 UTC
Market 1 61.5% @ 1.50 / 2 38.5% @ 2.40
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models NLEX Road Warriors 69%
📐 Math model NLEX Road Warriors 64%
💹 Market NLEX Road Warriors 80%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Terrafirma Dyip - NLEX Road Warriors

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Present in data
Form Match Participants H2H Overview
More needed
Market BetBoom, Flashscore, odds
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Line BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 88:84
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 64.4% fact: home missed / Brier 0.829 / LogLoss 1.032
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 55.7% fact: home missed / Brier 0.622 / LogLoss 0.815
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Terrafirma Dyip - 35.6%
NLEX Road Warriors - 64.4% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 35.6% / 64.4% probabilities
Rating 1,200 / 2,079 Terrafirma Dyip / NLEX Road Warriors
RD 150 / 220 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 900-1,500 / 1,639-2,520 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.40 Fonbet · weak value +54.5% · model 64.4%
1 1.50 Fonbet · no value · model 35.6%
Total
Over 200.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Over 202.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6% —
1.81 55.3% 1.86 53.8% —
— — 2.03 49.3%
— — 2.35 42.6%
— — 1.94 51.6%
— — 2.10 47.6%
— — 2.30 43.5%
— — 2.23 44.8%
1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% —
1.89 52.9% 1.94 51.6% —
— — 2.03 49.3%
— — 1.43 69.9%
— — 1.43 69.9%
— — 1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 200.5 — 1.88 53.2%
Over 204.5 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3%
Over 205.5 1.89 52.9% 1.94 51.6%
Over 206.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 207.5 — 1.94 51.6%
Over 208.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
Over 211.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 212.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 216.5 — 1.88 53.2%
Over 217.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 224.5 1.88 53.2% —
Under 204.5 1.80 55.6% —
Under 205.5 1.81 55.3% —
Under 208.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 224.5 1.82 55.0% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
5.00 20.0% 4.90 20.4% 1.50 66.7% 4.47 22.4%
1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 2.40 41.7% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Terrafirma Dyip
L W L L L
2026-07-29 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group A
Terrafirma Dyip Terrafirma Dyip 92:96 Macau Giant Pandas
2026-07-25 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group A
Terrafirma Dyip Terrafirma Dyip 111:106 TnT Tropang Giga
2026-07-18 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group A
Terrafirma Dyip Terrafirma Dyip 104:109 San Miguel Beermen
2026-07-15 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group A
Terrafirma Dyip Converge FiberXers 105:103 Terrafirma Dyip
2026-07-12 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group A
Terrafirma Dyip NLEX Road Warriors 101:100 Terrafirma Dyip
1 Wins
4 Losses
102.0 Scored
103.4 Conceded
20% Win percentage
NLEX Road Warriors
W W W W W
2026-08-04 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group A
NLEX Road Warriors 88:83 TnT Tropang Giga NLEX Road Warriors
2026-08-01 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group A
Converge FiberXers 107:119 NLEX Road Warriors NLEX Road Warriors
2026-07-26 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group A
NLEX Road Warriors 110:96 San Miguel Beermen NLEX Road Warriors
2026-07-14 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group A
NLEX Road Warriors 135:100 Titan Ultra Giant Risers NLEX Road Warriors
2026-07-12 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group A
NLEX Road Warriors 101:100 Terrafirma Dyip NLEX Road Warriors
5 Wins
0 Losses
110.6 Scored
97.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTerrafirma Dyip - NLEX Road Warriors

Terrafirma Dyip
2 matches total
NLEX Road Warriors
Terrafirma Dyip: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
NLEX Road Warriors: 2 (100%)
Biggest win NLEX Road Warriors 101:100 (2026-07-12) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 201 goals (101:100, 2026-07-12) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-12 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group A
NLEX Road Warriors 101:100 Terrafirma Dyip
12.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Terrafirma Dip
100:101
NLEKS Roud Uorriors