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Philippines. MPBL
Philippines. MPBL
21.05.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction
21.05.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

Philippines. MPBL

Bataan Risers - Mindoro Tamaraws

Basketball
Bataan Risers
Bataan Risers
81 : 83
Finished
Mindoro Tamaraws
Mindoro Tamaraws

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bataan Risers - Mindoro Tamaraws May 21, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bataan Risers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.47 / 2 2.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 63.0%
2 37.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Bataan Risers

Main outcome Bataan Risers
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 50.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Bataan Risers
3-2LWLWW
points for 89.7points against 85.1
Mindoro Tamaraws
5-0WWWWW
points for 85.3points against 70.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 21.05.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Bataan Risers - Mindoro Tamaraws

Array

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 81:83
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 159.5 1.76 Fonbet · line only
Over 160.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.60 62.5%
1.93 51.8%
1.95 51.3%
1.87 53.5%
2.05 48.8%
1.76 56.8%
1.90 52.6%
2.07 48.3%
2.03 49.3%
2.20 45.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.68 59.5%
1.94 51.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.67 59.9%
1.70 58.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 159.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 160.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 161.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 164.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 165.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 166.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 167.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 168.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 169.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 170.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 171.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 172.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 173.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 174.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 175.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 159.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 160.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 161.5 1.75 57.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.47 68.0%
2.50 40.0%