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Philippines. MPBL
Philippines. MPBL
09.06.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
09.06.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Philippines. MPBL

Bulacan Kuyas - Negros Hacienderos

Basketball
Bulacan Kuyas
Bulacan Kuyas
83 : 70
Finished
Negros Hacienderos
Negros Hacienderos

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bulacan Kuyas - Negros Hacienderos June 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bulacan Kuyas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 90.7%
2 9.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Team form

Bulacan Kuyas
Overall LLLWL Net -37.1
Home LWL Net -38.7
Away LLL Net -35.3
Negros Hacienderos
Overall LLLLL Net -12.1
Home LL Net -12.3
Away LLLW Net -11.9

Team stats

Bulacan Kuyas Overall · Home/Away Negros Hacienderos
11.8%H 8.3% · A 15.6%Win %40.0%H 40.0% · A 40.0%
-37.1H -38.7 · A -35.3Point differential-12.1H -12.3 · A -11.9
71.9H 68.8 · A 75.4Points per game75.6H 74.2 · A 77.0
90.4H 88.1 · A 93.0Conceded81.6H 80.3 · A 82.9
37.4%H 37.7% · A 37.0%FG, %38.4%H 37.9% · A 38.9%
14.7H 11.1 · A 18.81st half36.7H 40.0 · A 33.3
81.8H 79.8 · A 84.0Pace78.3H 78.2 · A 78.3
87.9H 90.2 · A 85.5Offensive rating93.0H 94.4 · A 91.7
110.5H 113.4 · A 107.5Defensive rating100.5H 101.9 · A 99.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Bulacan Kuyas Total (over) Negros Hacienderos
71.9 Points per game 75.6
51.5%
O 70.5
63.3%
47.1%
O 71.5
63.3%
44.1%
O 72.5
56.7%
41.2%
O 73.5srednee
50.0%
41.2%
O 74.5
46.7%
38.2%
O 75.5
40.0%
38.2%
O 76.5
40.0%
38.2%
O 77.5
40.0%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Bulacan Kuyas Total (over) Negros Hacienderos
1.5%
O 102.5
3.3%
1.5%
O 103.5
0.0%
1.5%
O 104.5
0.0%
1.5%
O 105.5
0.0%
1.5%
O 106.5
0.0%
1.5%
O 107.5
0.0%
1.5%
O 108.5
0.0%
1.5%
O 109.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Bulacan Kuyas — / Negros Hacienderos —

Bulacan Kuyas Total (over) Negros Hacienderos
16.2%
O 40.5
26.7%
14.7%
O 41.5
20.0%
13.2%
O 42.5
13.3%
11.8%
O 43.5
13.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Bulacan Kuyas — / Negros Hacienderos —

Bulacan Kuyas Total (over) Negros Hacienderos
48.5%
O 40.5
36.7%
42.6%
O 41.5
33.3%
36.8%
O 42.5
30.0%
30.9%
O 43.5
26.7%

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Match center
Start 09.06.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Bulacan Kuyas - Negros Hacienderos

Array

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 152.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
Over 156.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.83 54.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.75 57.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.95 51.3%
1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 152.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 156.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 157.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 161.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 162.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 163.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 164.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 165.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 166.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 169.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 173.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 152.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 156.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 157.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 161.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 162.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 163.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 164.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
10.00 10.0%
Match center
Bulacan Kuyas
L L L
02.06 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas 73:83 Zamboanga SikatZamboanga Sikat
28.05 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas 84:91 Batang KankalooBatang Kankaloo
25.05 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas 83:92 Quezon CityQuezon City
0 Wins
3 Losses
80.0 Scored
88.7 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Negros Hacienderos
W L L
03.06 12:43 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Negros Hacienderos 109:103 Manila Batang QuiapoManila Batang Quiapo
01.06 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Negros Hacienderos 87:99 Bacolod MasskaraBacolod Masskara
20.05 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Negros Hacienderos 74:102 GenSan WarriorsGenSan Warriors
1 Wins
2 Losses
90.0 Scored
101.3 Conceded
33% Win percentage