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Philippines. MPBL
Philippines. MPBL
09.06.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
09.06.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Philippines. MPBL

Ilagan Isabela Cowboys - Mindoro Tamaraws

Basketball
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
89 : 79
Finished
Mindoro Tamaraws
Mindoro Tamaraws

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ilagan Isabela Cowboys - Mindoro Tamaraws June 9, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ilagan Isabela Cowboys. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 89.7%
2 10.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Team form

Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
Overall LLLWL Net +6.5
Home LWW Net +19.0
Away LLL Net -3.2
Mindoro Tamaraws
Overall LWWWL Net +1.1
Home LWL Net +10.6
Away WWL Net -4.8

Team stats

Ilagan Isabela Cowboys Overall · Home/Away Mindoro Tamaraws
50.0%H 71.4% · A 33.3%Win %47.1%H 61.5% · A 38.1%
6.5H 19.0 · A -3.2Point differential1.1H 10.6 · A -4.8
79.0H 81.3 · A 77.2Points per game78.9H 82.7 · A 76.6
75.8H 71.8 · A 78.8Conceded78.4H 77.4 · A 79.0
40.0%H 41.6% · A 38.7%FG, %40.0%H 40.7% · A 39.6%
53.1H 71.4 · A 38.91st half50.0H 61.5 · A 42.9
78.9H 77.9 · A 79.6Pace79.8H 80.3 · A 79.5
99.8H 100.6 · A 99.3Offensive rating98.9H 98.2 · A 99.5
95.7H 96.4 · A 95.2Defensive rating98.2H 97.5 · A 98.7

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Ilagan Isabela Cowboys Total (over) Mindoro Tamaraws
79.0 Points per game 78.9
59.4%
O 75.5
58.8%
56.3%
O 76.5
52.9%
46.9%
O 77.5
50.0%
40.6%
O 78.5srednee
47.1%
37.5%
O 79.5
44.1%
31.3%
O 80.5
44.1%
31.3%
O 81.5
41.2%
28.1%
O 82.5
38.2%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Ilagan Isabela Cowboys Total (over) Mindoro Tamaraws
6.3%
O 108.5
0.0%
3.1%
O 109.5
0.0%
3.1%
O 110.5
0.0%
3.1%
O 111.5
0.0%
3.1%
O 112.5
0.0%
3.1%
O 113.5
0.0%
3.1%
O 114.5
0.0%
3.1%
O 115.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Ilagan Isabela Cowboys — / Mindoro Tamaraws —

Ilagan Isabela Cowboys Total (over) Mindoro Tamaraws
25.0%
O 40.5
44.1%
25.0%
O 41.5
35.3%
25.0%
O 42.5
32.4%
18.8%
O 43.5
32.4%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Ilagan Isabela Cowboys 40.9 / Mindoro Tamaraws 40.0

Ilagan Isabela Cowboys Total (over) Mindoro Tamaraws
46.9%
O 40.5srednee
41.2%
43.8%
O 41.5
35.3%
43.8%
O 42.5
32.4%
43.8%
O 43.5
29.4%

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Match center
Start 09.06.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Ilagan Isabela Cowboys - Mindoro Tamaraws

Array

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 148.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Over 150.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.83 54.6%
2.00 50.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.72 58.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 148.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 150.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 153.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 154.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 155.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 158.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 159.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 162.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 163.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 170.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 173.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 175.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 177.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 178.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 148.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 150.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 153.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 154.5 2.00 50.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
9.00 11.1%
Match center
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
W L L
03.06 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys 100:84 Pasig CityPasig City
28.05 10:25 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys 64:89 Quezon HuskersQuezon Huskers
19.05 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys 83:96 Quezon CityQuezon City
1 Wins
2 Losses
82.3 Scored
89.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Mindoro Tamaraws
L W W
02.06 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Mindoro Tamaraws 71:77 Batangas CityBatangas City
27.05 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Mindoro Tamaraws 104:81 Imus BraderhoodImus Braderhood
21.05 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Mindoro Tamaraws 83:81 Bataan RisersBataan Risers
2 Wins
1 Losses
86.0 Scored
79.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage