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Philippines. MPBL
Philippines. MPBL
03.06.2026 12:43 UTC
Finished

Philippines. MPBL

Manila Batang Quiapo - Negros Hacienderos

Basketball
Manila Batang Quiapo
Manila Batang Quiapo
103 : 109
Finished
Negros Hacienderos
Negros Hacienderos

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manila Batang Quiapo - Negros Hacienderos June 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Negros Hacienderos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.90 / 2 1.14

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 18.9%
2 81.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Manila Batang Quiapo
0-5LLLLL
points for 86.4points against 102.6
Negros Hacienderos
5-0WWWWW
points for 89.2points against 77.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 03.06.2026 12:43 UTC
Match center

Manila Batang Quiapo - Negros Hacienderos

Array

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1 4.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 189.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Over 195.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 189.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 195.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 199.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 204.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 207.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 208.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 214.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 216.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 218.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 219.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 220.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 221.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 225.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 226.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 189.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 195.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 199.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 204.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
4.90 20.4%
1.14 87.7%
Match center
Manila Batang Quiapo
L L
25.05 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo 93:128 Cebu GreatsCebu Greats
20.05 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Manila Batang Quiapo 82:126 Pasay VoyagersPasay Voyagers
0 Wins
2 Losses
87.5 Scored
127.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Negros Hacienderos
L L
01.06 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Negros Hacienderos 87:99 Bacolod MasskaraBacolod Masskara
20.05 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Negros Hacienderos 74:102 GenSan WarriorsGenSan Warriors
0 Wins
2 Losses
80.5 Scored
100.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage