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Philippines. MPBL
Philippines. MPBL International
30.07.2026 09:00 UTC
30.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Not started

Philippines. MPBL

Marikina Shoemasters - Cebu

International Basketball
Marikina Shoemasters
Marikina Shoemasters
- : -
Not started
Cebu
Cebu

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marikina Shoemasters - Cebu July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cebu. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Marikina Shoemasters - Cebu

Form 0/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 143.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 144.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.94 51.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 143.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 144.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 145.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 146.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 148.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 149.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 150.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 152.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 153.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 154.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 155.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 156.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 157.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 160.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 161.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 162.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 164.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 165.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
11.00 9.1%
1.01 99.0%
Match center
Cebu
W L L W
25.07 07:00 UTC Philippines. MPBL
Cebu 105:86 Pasig SitiPasig Siti
18.07 12:00 UTC Philippines. MPBL
Cebu 76:89 Kalukan Batang Kankaloo
16.07 11:00 UTC Philippines. MPBL
Cebu 77:78 Binan Tatak Gel GeymIks
09.07 08:00 UTC Philippines. MPBL
Cebu 97:67 Bakolod MasskaraBakolod Masskara
2 Wins
2 Losses
88.8 Scored
80.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage