Philippines. MPBL
Philippines. MPBL
14.07.2026 09:00 MSK
Finished

Philippines. MPBL

Meycauayan - San Juan Knights

Basketball
Meycauayan
Meycauayan
78 : 88
Finished
S
San Juan Knights
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 San Juan Knights59%

1 · Meycauayan40.8%
market8%
2 · San Juan Knights ✓ Прогноз59.2%
market92%

Model estimate: win Meycauayan 40.8%, win San Juan Knights 59.2%. Model favourite — San Juan Knights.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Meycauayan - San Juan Knights 14 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like San Juan Knights.

Line favourite Fonbet: San Juan Knights. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 11.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Meycauayan 40.8% / San Juan Knights 59.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 8.4%
2 ✓ Прогноз 91.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 4.20 ↑ 11.00
Победитель П2 1.19 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Meycauayan
1-4WLLLL
points for 78.1points against 93.3
San Juan Knights
5-0WWWWW
points for 94.9points against 75.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 14.07.2026 09:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
Match center

Meycauayan - San Juan Knights

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 78:88
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Meycauayan 8.4% 40.8%
San Juan Knights 91.6% 59.2% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 40.8% / 59.2% probabilities
Rating 1,647 / 2,353 Meycauayan / San Juan Knights
RD 239 / 196 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,168-2,126 / 1,962-2,744 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 59.2%
Total
Over 165.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Over 167.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +10.5 1.80 55.6%
П1 +11.5 1.87 53.5%
П1 +12.5 1.77 56.5%
П1 +13.5 1.83 54.6%
П1 +14.5 1.95 51.3%
П1 +15.5 1.77 56.5%
П1 +16.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +10.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +11.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 +12.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 +13.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +14.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +15.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 +16.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +17.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +18.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +8.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +9.5 1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 165.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 167.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 168.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 169.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 170.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 171.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 172.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 173.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 174.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 175.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 176.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 177.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 178.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 179.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 180.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 182.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 183.5 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 165.5 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 11.00 9.1%
П2 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Meycauayan
W L W W
08.07 13:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Meycauayan 31:22 Pasay VoyagersPasay Voyagers
02.07 13:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Meycauayan 61:75 Batangas CityBatangas City
01.06 11:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Meycauayan 92:76 Marikina ShoemastersMarikina Shoemasters
26.05 13:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Meycauayan 75:69 Bataan RisersBataan Risers
3 Wins
1 Losses
64.8 Scored
60.5 Conceded
75% Win percentage
San Juan Knights
W W W W W
09.07 13:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
San Juan Knights 81:79 GenSan WarriorsGenSan Warriors
04.07 09:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
San Juan Knights 110:76 Sarangani MarlinsSarangani Marlins
30.06 11:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
San Juan Knights 102:95 Bataan RisersBataan Risers
10.06 13:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
San Juan Knights 68:60 Batang KankalooBatang Kankaloo
05.06 11:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
San Juan Knights 110:89 Quezon CityQuezon City
5 Wins
0 Losses
94.2 Scored
79.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage