Philippines. MPBL
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Paranaque Patriots — 58%
Model estimate: win Paranaque Patriots 57.7%, win Negros Hacienderos 42.3%. Model favourite — Paranaque Patriots.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paranaque Patriots.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 -1.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| П1 -2.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 +10.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +11.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +12.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| П2 +13.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +4.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| П2 +5.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| П2 +6.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 +7.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| П2 +8.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 +9.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| П2 -2.5 | 2.40 41.7% |
| П2 -4.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 166.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 174.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 175.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 176.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 177.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 178.5 | 1.80 55.6% |
| ТБ 179.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 180.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 181.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| ТБ 182.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 184.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 185.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 186.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 188.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 189.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 190.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
| ТБ 192.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 193.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.35 74.1% |
| П2 | 2.90 34.5% |
Paranaque Patriots
Sarangani Marlins
Quezon City
Imus Braderhood
Cebu Greats
GenSan Warriors
Negros Hacienderos
Cebu Greats
Sarangani Marlins
Rizal Golden Coolers
Batangas City
Bulacan Kuyas
Full head-to-head historyParanaque Patriots - Negros Hacienderos
