Philippines: MPBL
Philippines: MPBL
03.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Philippines: MPBL

Pasay Voyagers - Abra Weavers

Basketball
Pasay Voyagers
Pasay Voyagers
51 : 68
Finished
Abra Weavers
Abra Weavers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pasay Voyagers - Abra Weavers July 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Abra Weavers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / 2 1.04

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 10.9%
2 89.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

2Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
74.0Points per game66.0
105.4Offensive rating89.0
94.0Defensive rating99.8
8.0Point differential-8.0
61.5Assists49.5
150.0Rebounds145.5
25.0%3-pointers, %14.5%

Team form

Pasay Voyagers
Overall WLWLL Net +17.1
Home LWLL Net +17.4
Away WL Net +16.7
Abra Weavers
Overall WWWWW Net +47.2
Home WWW Net +56.0
Away WWW Net +41.8

Team stats

Pasay Voyagers Overall · Home/Away Abra Weavers
56.3%H 50.0% · A 66.7%Win %92.3%H 100.0% · A 87.5%
17.1H 17.4 · A 16.7Point differential47.2H 56.0 · A 41.8
84.7H 84.4 · A 85.2Points per game98.9H 110.2 · A 91.9
76.1H 75.7 · A 76.8Conceded75.3H 82.2 · A 71.0
44.9%H 45.3% · A 44.3%FG, %50.9%H 57.4% · A 46.9%
50.0H 40.0 · A 66.71st half69.2H 80.0 · A 62.5
77.0H 77.4 · A 76.5Pace80.9H 82.8 · A 79.7
110.1H 109.1 · A 111.4Offensive rating122.0H 118.7 · A 124.2
98.9H 98.0 · A 100.1Defensive rating92.9H 90.4 · A 94.5

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Pasay Voyagers Total (over) Abra Weavers
84.7 Points per game 98.9
31.3%
O 88.5
76.9%
31.3%
O 89.5
69.2%
31.3%
O 90.5
69.2%
31.3%
O 91.5среднее
69.2%
31.3%
O 92.5
69.2%
18.8%
O 93.5
69.2%
18.8%
O 94.5
69.2%
18.8%
O 95.5
69.2%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Pasay Voyagers Total (over) Abra Weavers
6.3%
O 109.5
38.5%
6.3%
O 110.5
38.5%
6.3%
O 111.5
30.8%
6.3%
O 112.5
30.8%
6.3%
O 113.5
23.1%
6.3%
O 114.5
15.4%
6.3%
O 115.5
7.7%
6.3%
O 116.5
7.7%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Pasay Voyagers 40.1 / Abra Weavers 46.8

Pasay Voyagers Total (over) Abra Weavers
18.8%
O 41.5
76.9%
18.8%
O 42.5
76.9%
18.8%
O 43.5среднее
76.9%
18.8%
O 44.5
76.9%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Pasay Voyagers 44.2 / Abra Weavers 52.2

Pasay Voyagers Total (over) Abra Weavers
31.3%
O 46.5
61.5%
31.3%
O 47.5
61.5%
25.0%
O 48.5среднее
61.5%
25.0%
O 49.5
61.5%

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Pasay Voyagers - Abra Weavers

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 119.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Over 121.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.77 56.5%
1.77 56.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.93 51.8%
1.93 51.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 119.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 121.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 122.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 124.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 127.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 129.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 137.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 141.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 144.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 149.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 152.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 155.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 156.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 160.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 119.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 121.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 122.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 124.5 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
8.50 11.8%
1.04 96.2%
Match center
Pasay Voyagers
L L L W
10.06 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Pasay Voyagers 85:88 Valenzuela City DarkhorseValenzuela City Darkhorse
04.06 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Pasay Voyagers 74:82 Batang KankalooBatang Kankaloo
25.05 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Pasay Voyagers 93:98 GenSan WarriorsGenSan Warriors
20.05 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Pasay Voyagers 126:82 Manila Batang QuiapoManila Batang Quiapo
1 Wins
3 Losses
94.5 Scored
87.5 Conceded
25% Win percentage
Abra Weavers
W W
03.06 10:15 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Abra Weavers 107:94 GenSan WarriorsGenSan Warriors
18.05 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Abra Weavers 105:79 Sarangani MarlinsSarangani Marlins
2 Wins
0 Losses
106.0 Scored
86.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage