PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Philippines: MPBL
Philippines: MPBL
11.06.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
11.06.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Philippines: MPBL

Quezon City - Basilan Steel

Basketball
Quezon City
Quezon City
83 : 80
Finished
Basilan Steel
Basilan Steel

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Quezon City - Basilan Steel June 11, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Basilan Steel. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.00 / 2 1.33

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 30.7%
2 69.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Team form

Quezon City
Overall WWLWW Net +25.2
Home WWW Net +40.0
Away LWW Net +14.6
Basilan Steel
Overall LLWLW Net -4.9
Home W Net +10.0
Away LLWLL Net -17.3

Team stats

Quezon City Overall · Home/Away Basilan Steel
75.0%H 100.0% · A 57.1%Win %45.5%H 60.0% · A 33.3%
25.2H 40.0 · A 14.6Point differential-4.9H 10.0 · A -17.3
91.4H 92.6 · A 90.6Points per game78.4H 79.2 · A 77.7
78.8H 72.6 · A 83.3Conceded80.8H 74.2 · A 86.3
46.8%H 45.8% · A 47.6%FG, %41.2%H 43.4% · A 39.3%
75.0H 80.0 · A 71.41st half36.4H 40.0 · A 33.3
80.0H 80.2 · A 79.9Pace80.1H 80.3 · A 79.8
113.7H 112.1 · A 114.9Offensive rating97.0H 97.3 · A 96.8
98.0H 96.6 · A 99.1Defensive rating100.0H 100.3 · A 99.9

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Quezon City Total (over) Basilan Steel
91.4 Points per game 78.4
66.7%
O 81.5
36.4%
66.7%
O 82.5
27.3%
66.7%
O 83.5
27.3%
58.3%
O 84.5srednee
18.2%
58.3%
O 85.5
18.2%
58.3%
O 86.5
18.2%
58.3%
O 87.5
18.2%
58.3%
O 88.5
9.1%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Quezon City Total (over) Basilan Steel
8.3%
O 110.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 111.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 112.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 113.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 114.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 115.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 116.5
0.0%
8.3%
O 117.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Quezon City 44.3 / Basilan Steel —

Quezon City Total (over) Basilan Steel
58.3%
O 40.5
18.2%
58.3%
O 41.5
18.2%
50.0%
O 42.5
18.2%
41.7%
O 43.5srednee
18.2%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Quezon City 47.2 / Basilan Steel 40.3

Quezon City Total (over) Basilan Steel
75.0%
O 42.5
45.5%
66.7%
O 43.5srednee
18.2%
58.3%
O 44.5
9.1%
58.3%
O 45.5
9.1%

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 11.06.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Quezon City - Basilan Steel

Array

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.33 Fonbet · line only
1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 171.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Over 174.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.83 54.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 171.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 174.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 176.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 177.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 181.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 183.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 184.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 188.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 171.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 174.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 176.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 177.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 181.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 183.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 184.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 188.5 1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
3.00 33.3%
1.33 75.2%
Match center
Quezon City
L W W
05.06 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Quezon City 89:110 San Juan Knights
25.05 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Quezon City 92:83 Bulacan KuyasBulacan Kuyas
19.05 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Quezon City 96:83 Ilagan Isabela CowboysIlagan Isabela Cowboys
2 Wins
1 Losses
92.3 Scored
92.0 Conceded
67% Win percentage
Basilan Steel
W
20.05 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Basilan Steel 76:73 Rizal Golden CoolersRizal Golden Coolers
1 Wins
0 Losses
76.0 Scored
73.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage