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Philippines: MPBL
Philippines: MPBL
20.05.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
20.05.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Philippines: MPBL

Rizal Golden Coolers - Basilan Steel

Basketball
Rizal Golden Coolers
Rizal Golden Coolers
73 : 76
Finished
Basilan Steel
Basilan Steel

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rizal Golden Coolers - Basilan Steel May 20, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Basilan Steel. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.35 / 2 1.52

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 39.3%
2 60.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Rizal Golden Coolers
1-5LLLWLL
points for 69.5points against 80.9
Basilan Steel
1-4WLLLL
points for 69.9points against 79.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 20.05.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Rizal Golden Coolers - Basilan Steel

Array

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 Fonbet · line only
1 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 158.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 160.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 158.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 160.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 161.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 163.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 164.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 158.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 160.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 161.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 163.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 164.5 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
2.35 42.6%
1.52 65.8%