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Philippines: MPBL
Philippines: MPBL
04.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

Philippines: MPBL

San Juan Knights - Sarangani Marlins

Basketball
S
San Juan Knights
110 : 76
Finished
Sarangani Marlins
Sarangani Marlins

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction San Juan Knights - Sarangani Marlins July 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: San Juan Knights. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / 2 10.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 90.7%
2 9.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

3Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
100.7Points per game82.3
124.6Offensive rating101.9
101.9Defensive rating124.6
18.3Point differential-18.3
—Assists63.0
—Rebounds115.0
34.7%3-pointers, %39.0%

Team form

San Juan Knights
Overall WWWWW Net +38.3
Home WWW Net +40.9
Away WWW Net +32.5
Sarangani Marlins
Overall LLLLL Net -43.9
Home LL Net -32.2
Away LLLL Net -58.5

Team stats

San Juan Knights Overall · Home/Away Sarangani Marlins
92.3%H 88.9% · A 100.0%Win %16.7%H 30.0% · A 0.0%
38.3H 40.9 · A 32.5Point differential-43.9H -32.2 · A -58.5
94.9H 95.0 · A 94.5Points per game79.7H 83.6 · A 74.9
75.7H 74.6 · A 78.3Conceded101.7H 99.7 · A 104.1
48.8%H 49.0% · A 48.3%FG, %40.9%H 43.9% · A 37.3%
—1st half16.7H 30.0 · A 0.0
80.7H 80.7 · A 80.7Pace85.0H 85.4 · A 84.5
118.2H 118.1 · A 118.7Offensive rating94.1H 93.5 · A 94.8
94.4H 94.2 · A 94.7Defensive rating120.0H 119.2 · A 121.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

San Juan Knights Total (over) Sarangani Marlins
94.9 Points per game 79.7
69.2%
O 83.5
38.9%
69.2%
O 84.5
33.3%
69.2%
O 85.5
27.8%
69.2%
O 86.5
22.2%
69.2%
O 87.5srednee
22.2%
69.2%
O 88.5
22.2%
61.5%
O 89.5
22.2%
53.8%
O 90.5
16.7%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

San Juan Knights Total (over) Sarangani Marlins
15.4%
O 110.5
5.6%
15.4%
O 111.5
0.0%
15.4%
O 112.5
0.0%
15.4%
O 113.5
0.0%
7.7%
O 114.5
0.0%
7.7%
O 115.5
0.0%
7.7%
O 116.5
0.0%
7.7%
O 117.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: San Juan Knights 48.2 / Sarangani Marlins —

San Juan Knights Total (over) Sarangani Marlins
76.9%
O 41.5
38.9%
76.9%
O 42.5
16.7%
76.9%
O 43.5
11.1%
69.2%
O 44.5srednee
11.1%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: San Juan Knights 46.2 / Sarangani Marlins 42.1

San Juan Knights Total (over) Sarangani Marlins
53.8%
O 42.5
55.6%
53.8%
O 43.5
50.0%
46.2%
O 44.5srednee
27.8%
46.2%
O 45.5
22.2%

Clubs and venues

Team reference

San Juan Knights
  • San Juan Gym (San-Khuan) · 2 000 seats
  • Founded in 1998
Sarangani Marlins
No data

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

San Juan Knights - Sarangani Marlins

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 164.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 167.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.77 56.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.93 51.8%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.77 56.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 164.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 167.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 168.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 169.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 170.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 172.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 173.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 174.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 175.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 176.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 179.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 164.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 167.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 168.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 169.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 170.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 172.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 173.5 1.80 55.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
10.00 10.0%
Match center
San Juan Knights
W W W W
30.06 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
San Juan Knights 102:95 Bataan RisersBataan Risers
10.06 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
San Juan Knights 68:60 Batang KankalooBatang Kankaloo
05.06 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
San Juan Knights 110:89 Quezon CityQuezon City
22.05 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
San Juan Knights 102:60 Iloilo United RoyalsIloilo United Royals
4 Wins
0 Losses
95.5 Scored
76.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Sarangani Marlins
W L L L L
01.07 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 108:102 Negros HacienderosNegros Hacienderos
01.06 08:15 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 59:89 Quezon HuskersQuezon Huskers
27.05 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 84:103 Binan Tatak GelBinan Tatak Gel
22.05 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 93:96 Pasig CityPasig City
18.05 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 79:105 Abra WeaversAbra Weavers
1 Wins
4 Losses
84.6 Scored
99.0 Conceded
20% Win percentage