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Philippines. MPBL
Philippines. MPBL
27.05.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
27.05.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Philippines. MPBL

Sarangani Marlins - Binan Tatak Gel

Basketball
Sarangani Marlins
Sarangani Marlins
84 : 103
Finished
Binan Tatak Gel
Binan Tatak Gel

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sarangani Marlins - Binan Tatak Gel May 27, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Binan Tatak Gel. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / 2 1.06

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 12.7%
2 87.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sarangani Marlins
0-5LLLLL
points for 79.7points against 101.7
Binan Tatak Gel
1-4LLLWL
points for 80.3points against 85.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 27.05.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Sarangani Marlins - Binan Tatak Gel

Array

Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 156.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Over 158.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.75 57.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.87 53.5%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.58 63.3%
1.87 53.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
2.23 44.8%
1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 156.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 158.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 160.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 162.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 166.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 168.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 170.5 1.76 56.8%
Over 173.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 176.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 181.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 182.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 156.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 158.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 160.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 162.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 166.5 2.07 48.3%
Under 168.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 170.5 1.94 51.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.30 13.7%
1.06 94.3%
Match center
Sarangani Marlins
L L
22.05 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 93:96 Pasig CityPasig City
18.05 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 79:105 Abra WeaversAbra Weavers
0 Wins
2 Losses
86.0 Scored
100.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage