Philippines: MPBL
Philippines: MPBL
13.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Philippines: MPBL

Valenzuela City Darkhorse - Pasig City

Basketball
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
100 : 102
Finished
Pasig City
Pasig City
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Pasig City61%

1 · Valenzuela City Darkhorse39.4%
market50%
2 · Pasig City ✓ Прогноз60.6%
market50%

Model estimate: win Valenzuela City Darkhorse 39.4%, win Pasig City 60.6%. Model favourite — Pasig City.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Pasig City confidence 54% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valenzuela City Darkhorse - Pasig City 13 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valenzuela City Darkhorse.

Line favourite Fonbet: Valenzuela City Darkhorse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.85 / 2 1.85
  • Glicko: Valenzuela City Darkhorse 39.4% / Pasig City 60.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 50.0%
2 ✓ Прогноз 50.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Valenzuela City Darkhorse
3-2LWLWW
points for 89.7points against 85.1
Pasig City
2-3WWLLL
points for 87.3points against 84.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 13.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Valenzuela City Darkhorse - Pasig City

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Present in data
Form Match Participants Overview
More needed
Market BetBoom, Flashscore, odds
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Line BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 100:102
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Valenzuela City Darkhorse - 39.4%
Pasig City - 60.6% model pick

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 39.4% / 60.6% probabilities
Rating 1,185 / 1,603 Valenzuela City Darkhorse / Pasig City
RD 218 / 181 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 748-1,622 / 1,241-1,966 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.85 Fonbet · value +12.1% · model 60.6%
1 1.85 Fonbet · no value · model 39.4%
Total
Over 165.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 168.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +1.5 1.76 56.8%
П1 +2.5 1.90 52.6%
П1 +3.5 1.87 53.5%
П1 +4.5 1.85 54.1%
П1 +5.5 1.80 55.6%
П1 +7.5 1.83 54.6%
П1 -1.5 2.00 50.0%
П1 -5.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +1.5 1.94 51.6%
П2 +2.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 +3.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 +4.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 +5.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +7.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -1.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -5.5 1.83 54.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 165.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 168.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 169.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 170.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 174.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 175.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 176.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 177.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 178.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 179.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 181.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 182.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 184.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 188.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 191.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 193.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 195.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 199.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.85 54.1%
П2 1.85 54.1%
Match center
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
L L W L W
06.07 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse 16:23 Batangas CityBatangas City
01.07 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse 83:88 Marikina ShoemastersMarikina Shoemasters
10.06 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse 88:85 Pasay VoyagersPasay Voyagers
04.06 08:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse 70:89 Cebu GreatsCebu Greats
29.05 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse 76:72 Paranaque PatriotsParanaque Patriots
2 Wins
3 Losses
66.6 Scored
71.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Pasig City
W L W W L
05.07 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Pasig City 69:68 Mindoro TamarawsMindoro Tamaraws
30.06 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Pasig City 55:93 Quezon HuskersQuezon Huskers
11.06 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Pasig City 92:65 Rizal Golden CoolersRizal Golden Coolers
08.06 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Pasig City 96:84 Bacolod MasskaraBacolod Masskara
03.06 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Pasig City 84:100 Ilagan Isabela CowboysIlagan Isabela Cowboys
3 Wins
2 Losses
79.2 Scored
82.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage