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Philippines: MPBL
Philippines: MPBL
02.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
02.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Philippines: MPBL

Zamboanga Sikat - Basilan Steel

Basketball
Zamboanga Sikat
Zamboanga Sikat
82 : 74
Finished
Basilan Steel
Basilan Steel
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Basilan Steel (odds5.30) Score 80:80 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Zamboanga Sikat: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • • Basilan Steel: forma PV (1)
  • • Model backs Basilan Steel: probability 51%.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zamboanga Sikat - Basilan Steel July 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zamboanga Sikat. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / 2 5.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 82.6%
2 17.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

1Wins0
100.0%Win %0.0%
83.0Points per game73.0
108.4Offensive rating82.1
95.3Defensive rating93.3
10.0Point differential-10.0
63.0Assists45.0
141.0Rebounds141.0
23.0%3-pointers, %22.0%

Team form

Zamboanga Sikat
Overall WLLWW Net -3.3
Home WW Net -3.3
Away WLL Net -3.2
Basilan Steel
Overall LLLWL Net -10.6
Home LLWL Net +1.0
Away LL Net -19.3

Team stats

Zamboanga Sikat Overall · Home/Away Basilan Steel
35.7%H 44.4% · A 20.0%Win %28.6%H 33.3% · A 25.0%
-3.3H -3.3 · A -3.2Point differential-10.6H 1.0 · A -19.3
78.8H 80.2 · A 76.2Points per game80.3H 82.5 · A 78.6
80.4H 81.9 · A 77.8Conceded85.6H 82.0 · A 88.3
40.1%H 40.2% · A 40.0%FG, %38.9%H 40.3% · A 37.8%
50.0H 55.6 · A 40.01st half21.4H 33.3 · A 12.5
74.9H 75.4 · A 74.0Pace84.9H 84.1 · A 85.6
105.1H 104.4 · A 106.6Offensive rating94.3H 95.1 · A 93.6
107.3H 106.5 · A 108.8Defensive rating100.5H 101.4 · A 99.8

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Zamboanga Sikat Total (over) Basilan Steel
78.8 Points per game 80.3
50.0%
O 76.5
71.4%
35.7%
O 77.5
71.4%
35.7%
O 78.5
57.1%
35.7%
O 79.5srednee
57.1%
35.7%
O 80.5
42.9%
35.7%
O 81.5
42.9%
35.7%
O 82.5
42.9%
28.6%
O 83.5
28.6%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Zamboanga Sikat Total (over) Basilan Steel
7.1%
O 105.5
0.0%
7.1%
O 106.5
0.0%
7.1%
O 107.5
0.0%
7.1%
O 108.5
0.0%
7.1%
O 109.5
0.0%
7.1%
O 110.5
0.0%
7.1%
O 111.5
0.0%
7.1%
O 112.5
0.0%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Zamboanga Sikat — / Basilan Steel —

Zamboanga Sikat Total (over) Basilan Steel
28.6%
O 40.5
21.4%
21.4%
O 41.5
21.4%
14.3%
O 42.5
14.3%
14.3%
O 43.5
14.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Zamboanga Sikat 41.9 / Basilan Steel 44.1

Zamboanga Sikat Total (over) Basilan Steel
57.1%
O 41.5
71.4%
50.0%
O 42.5srednee
50.0%
50.0%
O 43.5
28.6%
35.7%
O 44.5
28.6%

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Match center
Start 02.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Zamboanga Sikat - Basilan Steel

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 149.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Over 151.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.83 54.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.80 55.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.83 54.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.83 54.6%
1.87 53.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 149.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 151.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 152.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 154.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 155.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 157.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 159.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 160.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 161.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 162.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 163.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 164.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 165.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 149.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 151.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 152.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 154.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 155.5 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.12 89.3%
5.30 18.9%
Match center
Zamboanga Sikat
L W W W L
13.06 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat 53:72 Binan Tatak GelBinan Tatak Gel
08.06 10:15 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat 102:92 Imus BraderhoodImus Braderhood
02.06 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat 83:73 Bulacan KuyasBulacan Kuyas
28.05 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat 91:89 Pasig CityPasig City
19.05 06:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat 77:96 Cebu GreatsCebu Greats
3 Wins
2 Losses
81.2 Scored
84.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Basilan Steel
L W
11.06 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Basilan Steel 80:83 Quezon CityQuezon City
20.05 10:00 UTC Philippines: MPBL
Basilan Steel 76:73 Rizal Golden CoolersRizal Golden Coolers
1 Wins
1 Losses
78.0 Scored
78.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage