Philippines. MPBL
Philippines. MPBL
14.07.2026 13:00 MSK
Finished

Philippines. MPBL

Zamboanga Sikat - Sarangani Marlins

Basketball
Zamboanga Sikat
Zamboanga Sikat
104 : 77
Finished
Sarangani Marlins
Sarangani Marlins
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Zamboanga Sikat67%

1 · Zamboanga Sikat ✓ Прогноз67.0%
market90%
2 · Sarangani Marlins33.0%
market10%

Model estimate: win Zamboanga Sikat 67.0%, win Sarangani Marlins 33.0%. Model favourite — Zamboanga Sikat.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zamboanga Sikat - Sarangani Marlins 14 июля 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zamboanga Sikat.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zamboanga Sikat. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00
  • Glicko: Zamboanga Sikat 67.0% / Sarangani Marlins 33.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Прогноз 89.7%
2 10.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Zamboanga Sikat
1-4LLLWL
points for 80.3points against 85.6
Sarangani Marlins
0-5LLLLL
points for 79.7points against 101.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 14.07.2026 13:00 MSK
Form 6 matches
Match center

Zamboanga Sikat - Sarangani Marlins

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Present in data
Form Match Participants Overview
More needed
Market BetBoom, Flashscore, odds
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Line BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 104:77
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zamboanga Sikat - 67.0% model pick
Sarangani Marlins - 33.0%

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 67.0% / 33.0% probabilities
Rating 1,608 / 1,177 Zamboanga Sikat / Sarangani Marlins
RD 169 / 174 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,270-1,945 / 829-1,525 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 33.0%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 67.0%
Total
Over 169.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Over 170.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -10.5 1.87 53.5%
П1 -13.5 1.90 52.6%
П1 -19.5 1.85 54.1%
П1 -29.5 1.87 53.5%
П1 -31.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -10.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -13.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -19.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -29.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -31.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -32.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -34.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -35.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -36.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -37.5 1.77 56.5%
П2 -38.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -8.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -9.5 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 169.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 170.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 171.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 173.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 175.5 1.83 54.6%
ТБ 177.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 179.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 169.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 170.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 171.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 173.5 1.83 54.6%
ТМ 175.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 177.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 179.5 1.83 54.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.03 97.1%
П2 9.00 11.1%
Match center
Zamboanga Sikat
W L W W W
02.07 11:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat 82:74 Basilan SteelBasilan Steel
13.06 09:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat 53:72 Binan Tatak GelBinan Tatak Gel
08.06 13:15 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat 102:92 Imus BraderhoodImus Braderhood
02.06 09:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat 83:73 Bulacan KuyasBulacan Kuyas
28.05 09:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Zamboanga Sikat 91:89 Pasig CityPasig City
4 Wins
1 Losses
82.2 Scored
80.0 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Sarangani Marlins
W L W L L
08.07 11:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 84:74 Paranaque PatriotsParanaque Patriots
04.07 09:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 76:110 San Juan Knights
01.07 09:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 108:102 Negros HacienderosNegros Hacienderos
01.06 11:15 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 59:89 Quezon HuskersQuezon Huskers
27.05 11:00 МСК Philippines: MPBL
Sarangani Marlins 84:103 Binan Tatak GelBinan Tatak Gel
2 Wins
3 Losses
82.2 Scored
95.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage