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Philippines. Governor's Cup. Antipolo

12.06.2026 09:30 UTC Match prediction

12.06.2026 09:30 UTC

Finished

Philippines. Governor's Cup. Antipolo

Ginebra San Miguel - TNT Tropang 5G

Basketball

Ginebra San Miguel

100 : 95

Finished

TNT Tropang 5G

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ginebra San Miguel - TNT Tropang 5G June 12, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ginebra San Miguel. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.16 / 2 4.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 9.5%

1 78.8%

2 21.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Ginebra San Miguel

#3GP 129-3

TNT Tropang 5G

#7GP 126-6

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

36Wins40

93.0Points on average93.4

Head-to-head matches: 76 · average total 186.4 (points)

Team form

Ginebra San Miguel

7-3WWLWWWLWLW

points for 103.6points against 101.1

TNT Tropang 5G

5-5LWLWWLWLWL

points for 94.7points against 96.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center

Start 12.06.2026 09:30 UTC

Match center

Ginebra San Miguel - TNT Tropang 5G

Array

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.30 Fonbet · line only

1 1.16 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 100.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Over 101.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.53 65.4%
	1.88 53.2%
	1.85 54.1%
	2.15 46.5%
	1.92 52.1%
	2.20 45.5%
	1.85 54.1%
	1.62 61.7%
	1.50 66.7%
	1.43 69.9%
	1.23 81.3%
	1.93 51.8%
	1.35 74.1%
	1.40 71.4%
	1.45 69.0%
	1.38 72.5%
	1.40 71.4%
	1.73 57.8%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 100.5	1.72 58.1%
Over 101.5	1.95 51.3%
Over 102.5	2.22 45.1%
Over 103.5	2.17 46.1%
Over 182.5	1.27 78.7%
Over 183.5	1.35 74.1%
Over 184.5	1.45 69.0%
Over 185.5	1.30 76.9%
Over 186.5	1.67 59.9%
Over 187.5	1.90 52.6%
Over 188.5	2.15 46.5%
Over 189.5	1.85 54.1%
Over 190.5	1.78 56.2%
Over 191.5	2.02 49.5%
Over 192.5	2.85 35.1%
Over 193.5	3.40 29.4%
Over 194.5	2.20 45.5%
Over 195.5	2.40 41.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Bet365	Bet365 (no latency)	Betfair	Fonbet	Leon
	1.64 61.0%	1.64 61.0%	1.73 57.8%	1.16 86.2%	1.70 58.8%
	2.12 47.2%	2.12 47.2%	1.38 72.5%	4.30 23.3%	2.04 49.0%

Match center

Ginebra San Miguel

L W W W L

10.06 09:35 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff

Ginebra San Miguel 98:106 TNT Tropang 5G

07.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff

Ginebra San Miguel 116:102 TNT Tropang 5G

03.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff

Ginebra San Miguel 102:100 TNT Tropang 5G

29.05 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff

Ginebra San Miguel 111:104 Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.

27.05 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff

Ginebra San Miguel 85:97 Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.

3 Wins

2 Losses

102.4 Scored

101.8 Conceded

60% Win percentage

TNT Tropang 5G

W L L W L

10.06 09:35 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff

TNT Tropang 5G 106:98 Ginebra

07.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff

TNT Tropang 5G 102:116 Ginebra

03.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff

TNT Tropang 5G 100:102 Ginebra

29.05 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff

TNT Tropang 5G 103:95 Meralko Bolts

27.05 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff

TNT Tropang 5G 90:101 Meralko Bolts

2 Wins

3 Losses

100.2 Scored

102.4 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyGinebra San Miguel - TNT Tropang 5G

Ginebra San Miguel

3 matches total

TNT Tropang 5G

Ginebra San Miguel: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

TNT Tropang 5G: 3 (100%)

Biggest win Ginebra 116:102 (07.06 09:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 218 goals (116:102, 07.06 09:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

10.06 09:35 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff

Ginebra

98:106

TNT Tropang 5G

07.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff

Ginebra

116:102

TNT Tropang 5G

03.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff

Ginebra

102:100

TNT Tropang 5G

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Ginebra San Miguel

Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 TNT Tropang 5G

Tournament bracket

1/4 (2) Ginebra 2:0 (7) Feniks Fuelmasters

1/4 (3) Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt. streak (6) San Migel

1/4 (4) Meralko Bolts streak (5) Magnoliya Khotshots

1/4 (1) NLEKS Roud Uorriors streak (8) TNT Tropang 5G