PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Philippines. Governor's Cup. Antipolo
Philippines. Governor's Cup. Antipolo
10.06.2026 09:35 UTC Match prediction
10.06.2026 09:35 UTC
Finished

Philippines. Governor's Cup. Antipolo

TNT Tropang 5G - Ginebra San Miguel

Basketball
TNT Tropang 5G
TNT Tropang 5G
106 : 98
Finished
Ginebra San Miguel
Ginebra San Miguel

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction TNT Tropang 5G - Ginebra San Miguel June 10, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: TNT Tropang 5G. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 89.7%
2 10.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

TNT Tropang 5G
#7GP 126-6
Ginebra San Miguel
#3GP 129-3

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Head-to-head

24Wins23
47.1%Win %45.1%
82.4Points per game82.6
75.3Offensive rating131.0
75.5Defensive rating130.7
-0.2Point differential0.2
63.0Assists66.0
103.2Rebounds111.4
31.5%3-pointers, %35.4%

Team form

TNT Tropang 5G
Overall LWLWW Net +2.0
Home WWL Net +3.3
Away LLW Net +0.8
Ginebra San Miguel
Overall WLWWW Net +11.1
Home WWWW Net +3.8
Away LL Net +18.4

Team stats

TNT Tropang 5G Overall · Home/Away Ginebra San Miguel
56.5%H 54.6% · A 58.3%Win %72.7%H 63.6% · A 81.8%
2.0H 3.3 · A 0.8Point differential11.1H 3.8 · A 18.4
98.9H 99.8 · A 98.1Points per game104.9H 104.6 · A 105.2
97.9H 98.2 · A 97.7Conceded99.4H 102.7 · A 96.0
51.5%H 52.0% · A 50.9%FG, %56.0%H 55.1% · A 56.8%
52.2H 72.7 · A 33.31st half72.7A 63.6
79.8H 79.4 · A 80.3Pace77.7H 77.4 · A 78.1
123.6H 125.3 · A 121.9Offensive rating136.7H 139.5 · A 134.1
122.3H 124.0 · A 120.7Defensive rating129.5H 132.1 · A 127.0

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

TNT Tropang 5G Total (over) Ginebra San Miguel
98.9 Points per game 104.9
78.3%
O 93.5
77.3%
69.6%
O 94.5
72.7%
69.6%
O 95.5
72.7%
65.2%
O 96.5
72.7%
52.2%
O 97.5
72.7%
52.2%
O 98.5
72.7%
47.8%
O 99.5
68.2%
43.5%
O 100.5srednee
68.2%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

TNT Tropang 5G Total (over) Ginebra San Miguel
17.4%
O 106.5
59.1%
17.4%
O 107.5
59.1%
17.4%
O 108.5
59.1%
13.0%
O 109.5
50.0%
13.0%
O 110.5
45.5%
13.0%
O 111.5
31.8%
13.0%
O 112.5
27.3%
13.0%
O 113.5
22.7%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: TNT Tropang 5G 47.4 / Ginebra San Miguel 51.4

TNT Tropang 5G Total (over) Ginebra San Miguel
56.5%
O 47.5
77.3%
43.5%
O 48.5
68.2%
43.5%
O 49.5srednee
63.6%
34.8%
O 50.5
54.5%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: TNT Tropang 5G 51.2 / Ginebra San Miguel 53.5

TNT Tropang 5G Total (over) Ginebra San Miguel
52.2%
O 50.5
63.6%
47.8%
O 51.5
59.1%
47.8%
O 52.5srednee
59.1%
43.5%
O 53.5
59.1%

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 10.06.2026 09:35 UTC
Match center

TNT Tropang 5G - Ginebra San Miguel

Array

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.95 51.3%
2.00 50.0%
1.78 56.2%
2.20 45.5%
1.95 51.3%
1.77 56.5%
1.62 61.7%
1.48 67.6%
1.38 72.5%
1.30 76.9%
2.30 43.5%
2.15 46.5%
2.50 40.0%
2.25 44.4%
2.10 47.6%
1.93 51.8%
1.85 54.1%
2.25 44.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 101.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 102.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 103.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 104.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 105.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 107.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 180.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 181.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 182.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 183.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 184.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 185.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 186.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 187.5 2.13 47.0%
Over 188.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 189.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 190.5 1.50 66.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betfair Fonbet Leon
1.58 63.3% 1.74 57.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.03 97.1% 1.54 64.9%
2.22 45.1% 1.95 51.3% 2.56 39.1% 9.00 11.1% 2.33 42.9%
Match center
TNT Tropang 5G
L L W L W
07.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G 102:116 GinebraGinebra
03.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G 100:102 GinebraGinebra
29.05 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G 103:95 Meralko BoltsMeralko Bolts
27.05 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G 90:101 Meralko BoltsMeralko Bolts
20.05 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G 94:89 Meralko BoltsMeralko Bolts
2 Wins
3 Losses
97.8 Scored
100.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Ginebra San Miguel
W W W L W
07.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
Ginebra San Miguel 116:102 TNT Tropang 5GTNT Tropang 5G
03.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
Ginebra San Miguel 102:100 TNT Tropang 5GTNT Tropang 5G
29.05 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
Ginebra San Miguel 111:104 Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.
27.05 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
Ginebra San Miguel 85:97 Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.
22.05 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
Ginebra San Miguel 109:101 Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.
4 Wins
1 Losses
104.6 Scored
100.8 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTNT Tropang 5G - Ginebra San Miguel

TNT Tropang 5G
2 matches total
Ginebra San Miguel
TNT Tropang 5G: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Ginebra San Miguel: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Ginebra 102:116 (07.06 09:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 218 goals (102:116, 07.06 09:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

07.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G
102:116
Ginebra
03.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G
100:102
Ginebra
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 TNT Tropang 5G
Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Ginebra San Miguel

Tournament bracket

1/4 (2) Ginebra 2:0 (7) Feniks Fuelmasters
1/4 (3) Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt. streak (6) San Migel
1/4 (4) Meralko Bolts streak (5) Magnoliya Khotshots
1/4 (1) NLEKS Roud Uorriors streak (8) TNT Tropang 5G