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Philippines. Governor's Cup. Antipolo
Philippines. Governor's Cup. Antipolo
14.06.2026 09:30 UTC
Finished

Philippines. Governor's Cup. Antipolo

TNT Tropang 5G - Ginebra San Miguel

Basketball
TNT Tropang 5G
TNT Tropang 5G
98 : 90
Finished
Ginebra San Miguel
Ginebra San Miguel

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction TNT Tropang 5G - Ginebra San Miguel June 14, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: TNT Tropang 5G. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / 2 7.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 87.3%
2 12.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

TNT Tropang 5G
#7GP 126-6
Ginebra San Miguel
#3GP 129-3

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

40Wins36
93.4Points on average93.0

Head-to-head matches: 76 · average total 186.4 (points)

Team form

TNT Tropang 5G
5-5LWLWWLWLWL
points for 94.7points against 96.2
Ginebra San Miguel
7-3WWLWWWLWLW
points for 103.6points against 101.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 09:30 UTC
Match center

TNT Tropang 5G - Ginebra San Miguel

Array

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 100.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Over 101.5 2.17 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.00 50.0%
2.25 44.4%
2.55 39.2%
2.95 33.9%
2.10 47.6%
2.25 44.4%
2.50 40.0%
1.95 51.3%
1.51 66.2%
1.44 69.4%
1.70 58.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.28 78.1%
1.80 55.6%
2.20 45.5%
1.43 69.9%
1.35 74.1%
1.27 78.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 100.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 101.5 2.17 46.1%
Over 176.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 177.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 178.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 179.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 180.5 1.67 59.9%
Over 181.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 182.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 183.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 184.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 185.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 186.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 187.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 188.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 189.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 190.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 191.5 1.82 55.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betfair Fonbet Leon
2.22 45.1% 1.64 61.0% 2.12 47.2% 1.05 95.2% 2.14 46.7%
1.58 63.3% 2.12 47.2% 1.72 58.1% 7.20 13.9% 1.63 61.4%
Match center
TNT Tropang 5G
L W L L W
12.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G 95:100 GinebraGinebra
10.06 09:35 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G 106:98 GinebraGinebra
07.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G 102:116 GinebraGinebra
03.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G 100:102 GinebraGinebra
29.05 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G 103:95 Meralko BoltsMeralko Bolts
2 Wins
3 Losses
101.2 Scored
102.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Ginebra San Miguel
W L W W W
12.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
Ginebra San Miguel 100:95 TNT Tropang 5GTNT Tropang 5G
10.06 09:35 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
Ginebra San Miguel 98:106 TNT Tropang 5GTNT Tropang 5G
07.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
Ginebra San Miguel 116:102 TNT Tropang 5GTNT Tropang 5G
03.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
Ginebra San Miguel 102:100 TNT Tropang 5GTNT Tropang 5G
29.05 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
Ginebra San Miguel 111:104 Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.
4 Wins
1 Losses
105.4 Scored
101.4 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTNT Tropang 5G - Ginebra San Miguel

TNT Tropang 5G
3 matches total
Ginebra San Miguel
TNT Tropang 5G: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Ginebra San Miguel: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Ginebra 102:116 (07.06 09:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 218 goals (102:116, 07.06 09:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

12.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G
95:100
Ginebra
10.06 09:35 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G
106:98
Ginebra
07.06 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Commissioner's Cup - Playoff
TNT Tropang 5G
102:116
Ginebra
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 TNT Tropang 5G
Data 0 / 0 / 4 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Ginebra San Miguel

Tournament bracket

1/4 (2) Ginebra 2:0 (7) Feniks Fuelmasters
1/4 (3) Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt. streak (6) San Migel
1/4 (4) Meralko Bolts streak (5) Magnoliya Khotshots
1/4 (1) NLEKS Roud Uorriors streak (8) TNT Tropang 5G