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Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
04.08.2026 11:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 11:30 UTC
Not started

Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup

NLEKS Roud Uorriors - TNT Tropang 5G

Basketball
NLEKS Roud Uorriors
NLEKS Roud Uorriors
- : -
Not started
TNT Tropang 5G
TNT Tropang 5G

NLEKS Roud Uorriors go head-to-head with TNT Tropang 5G on August 4, 2026 in the Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup.

Recent form (W-D-L): NLEKS Roud Uorriors 5-0-0, TNT Tropang 5G 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 NLEKS Roud Uorriors — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · NLEKS Roud Uorriors): model 64% · market 58% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market

1 · NLEKS Roud Uorriors ✓ Pick58.5%
market58%
2 · TNT Tropang 5G41.5%
market42%

Model estimate: win NLEKS Roud Uorriors 58.5%, win TNT Tropang 5G 41.5%. Model favourite — NLEKS Roud Uorriors.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1NLEKS Roud Uorriors (odds1.57) Score 82:78 confidence 64%
  • • NLEKS Roud Uorriors: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • TNT Tropang 5G: forma VVPPV (3-2)
  • • Model backs NLEKS Roud Uorriors: probability 64% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction NLEKS Roud Uorriors - TNT Tropang 5G August 4, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: NLEKS Roud Uorriors. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.53 / 2 2.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7% 2 books · best price +5.6%
1 ✓ Pick 58.1%
2 41.9%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.57 ↓ 1.53
Winner P2 2.25 ↑ 2.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

NLEKS Roud Uorriors

no data

TNT Tropang 5G
5-5LWLWWLWLWL
points for 94.7points against 96.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 11:30 UTC
Market 1 62.0% @ 1.53 / 2 38.0% @ 2.50
Form 6 matches
Match center

NLEKS Roud Uorriors - TNT Tropang 5G

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
NLEKS Roud Uorriors 58.1% 58.5% market and model agree
TNT Tropang 5G 41.9% 41.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 58.5% / 41.5% probabilities
Rating 2,058 / 1,552 NLEKS Roud Uorriors / TNT Tropang 5G
RD 227 / 117 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,604-2,512 / 1,318-1,787 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.50 Fonbet · no value · model 41.5%
1 1.53 Fonbet · no value · model 58.5%
Total
Over 199.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 200.5 1.56 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.55 64.5%
2.65 37.7%
1.67 59.9%
1.75 57.1%
2.77 36.1%
2.65 37.7%
2.77 36.1%
2.77 36.1%
2.30 43.5%
1.42 70.4%
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.58 63.3%
1.51 66.2%
1.44 69.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 199.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 200.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 201.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 202.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 203.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 204.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 205.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 206.5 1.96 51.0%
Over 207.5 2.07 48.3%
Over 208.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 209.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 210.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 211.5 2.33 42.9%
Over 212.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 213.5 2.33 42.9%
Under 199.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 200.5 2.27 44.1%
Under 201.5 2.15 46.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
1.53 65.4% 1.71 58.5%
2.50 40.0% 2.02 49.5%
Match center
NLEKS Roud Uorriors
W W W W W
01.08 09:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
NLEKS Roud Uorriors 88:85 Converge FiberXersConverge FiberXers
26.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
NLEKS Roud Uorriors 110:96 San MigelSan Migel
14.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
NLEKS Roud Uorriors 135:100 Titan Ultra Giant RisersTitan Ultra Giant Risers
12.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
NLEKS Roud Uorriors 101:100 Terrafirma Dip
10.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
NLEKS Roud Uorriors 114:75 Makao Blek BearsMakao Blek Bears
5 Wins
0 Losses
109.6 Scored
91.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
TNT Tropang 5G
W W L L W
31.07 11:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
TNT Tropang 5G 22:15 San MigelSan Migel
28.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
TNT Tropang 5G 110:107 Converge FiberXersConverge FiberXers
25.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
TNT Tropang 5G 106:111 Terrafirma Dip
22.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
TNT Tropang 5G 87:103 Titan Ultra Giant RisersTitan Ultra Giant Risers
19.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
TNT Tropang 5G 106:103 Makao Blek BearsMakao Blek Bears
3 Wins
2 Losses
86.2 Scored
87.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage