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Philippines. Governor's Cup. Manila
Philippines. Governor's Cup. Manila
31.07.2026 07:15 UTC
Not started

Philippines. Governor's Cup. Manila

Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters - Magnolia Hotshots

Basketball
R
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
- : -
Not started
Magnolia Hotshots
Magnolia Hotshots
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters): model 53% · market 55% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters ✓ Pick58.5%
market55%
2 · Magnolia Hotshots41.5%
market45%

Model estimate: win Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 58.5%, win Magnolia Hotshots 41.5%. Model favourite — Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters (odds1.60) Score 81:79 Under 211.5 (odds1.88) Handicap H2 +2.5 (odds1.85) confidence 51%
  • Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt
  • — Magnoliya Khotshots (basketball)
  • Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.: forma VVPPP (2-3)
  • Magnoliya Khotshots: forma VPP (1-2)
  • Model backs Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.: probability 51% vs 63% on the line (odds 1.60)
  • no edge over the line (-11 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 211.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 211.5 (odds 1.88)
  • Handicap F2 +2.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters - Magnolia Hotshots July 31, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.67 / 2 2.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 55.3%
2 44.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Pobeditel P1 1.67 → 1.67
Pobeditel P2 2.07 → 2.07

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 07:15 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters - Magnolia Hotshots

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 58.9% 58.5% market and model agree
Magnolia Hotshots 41.1% 41.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 58.5% / 41.5% probabilities
Rating 1,662 / 1,635 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters / Magnolia Hotshots
RD 190 / 246 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,281-2,043 / 1,144-2,127 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.07 Fonbet · no value · model 41.5%
1 1.67 Fonbet · no value · model 58.5%
Total
Over 211.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Over 212.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.82 55.0% 1.88 53.2%
1.85 54.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9%
1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1%
1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.82 55.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 211.5 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.82 55.0%
Over 212.5 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.82 55.0%
Over 213.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 216.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 217.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 211.5 1.88 53.2% 1.94 51.6% 1.88 53.2%
Under 212.5 1.88 53.2% 1.94 51.6% 1.88 53.2%
Under 213.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 216.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 217.5 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.59 62.9%
1.99 50.3% 2.06 48.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.22 45.1%
Match center
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
W W L L
26.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 110:99 GinebraGinebra
21.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 105:98 Feniks FuelmastersFeniks Fuelmasters
18.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 114:122 Meralko BoltsMeralko Bolts
11.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 108:131 Blekuoter BossingBlekuoter Bossing
2 Wins
2 Losses
109.3 Scored
112.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Magnolia Hotshots
W L L
24.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Magnolia Hotshots 112:98 Meralko BoltsMeralko Bolts
17.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Magnolia Hotshots 81:89 Blekuoter BossingBlekuoter Bossing
11.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Magnolia Hotshots 86:98 Feniks FuelmastersFeniks Fuelmasters
1 Wins
2 Losses
93.0 Scored
95.0 Conceded
33% Win percentage